If the current debates on—or Turkish reservations regarding—the application by Sweden and Finland for NATO membership are reviewed, the calculus of the alliance, per the identified parameters, can expose the pains and gains for these countries, NATO, and, specifically, Turkey.
Read: Will Sweden and Finland Join NATO amid the Russia-Ukraine War?The lack of foresight and predictions hints at a possible divergence in international relations between the U.
Recently, Finland and Sweden, which traditionally take an approach of non-alignment and military independence, face predicaments of policy change with respect to their pacifism and the historic decision of joining NATO.
How will the Russia-Ukraine War affect the stance of countries that have historically followed a non-aligned or neutral status? Past political and military tensions with Russia have been used to open public discussion in Finland and Sweden, and to lobby for the idea of breaking with the past security identity policy and join NATO.
More than 20,000 soldiers from 13 nations, including a record-breaking participation of over 4,000 Finnish soldiers, will partake in drills over nearly two weeks in the northern regions of Finland, Norway, and Sweden, starting from March 4, 2024.
urkey's parliament ratified Sweden's NATO membership bid on January 23, 2024, overcoming a 20-month delay and eliminating a significant obstacle to expanding the transatlantic military alliance.
urkey's parliamentary foreign affairs commission has given the green light to Sweden's NATO membership bid, signaling a crucial step forward in the enlargement of the Western alliance.
Read: Why Did Turkey Ratify Finland’s but Not Sweden’s NATO Bid?
Suspicions of Russian officials' involvement
The Finnish government's recent decision to close four key southeastern border crossings with Russia raised suspicions of Russian officials' involvement in the migrant influx.
Turkey has shown good will towards other countries' bids for NATO membership when they have taken the necessary steps of rapprochement, as in the case of Sweden and Finland.
Lastly, by ratifying Finland's accession in March 2023, Turkey had demonstrated its historic and principled support for NATO's open-door policy and sent a message to Sweden, which was given the green light by Turkey on the first day of the Summit.
ome 10,000 personnel from 25 countries, including Japan and Sweden, will take part in NATO military drills kicking off on June 12, 2023, and lasting until June 23, which some observers believe aims at sending a message to Russia, with the participation of of 250 fighterjets.
congress will probably not allow the sale of F-16s to Turkey or will put forward some conditions, such as not using the jets against Greece or unconditional ratification of Sweden and Finland’s NATO membership.
ollowing Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, NATO membership was deemed so essential and urgent for Russia’s neighbouring countries, Sweden and Finland, that an intense diplomacy traffic was initiated immediately after the start of the war.
Read: Sweden's NATO Membership: Will Turkey's Realism Prevail?Turkey’s contributions to the alliance did not end when the Soviet bloc was dissolved in 1991.