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	<title>S&amp;P Archives - Politics Today</title>
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		<title>CHP’s Possible Strategies for the 2019 Election</title>
		<link>https://politicstoday.org/chps-possible-strategies-for-the-2019-election/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Politics Today]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 26 Mar 2018 04:27:24 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Turkey]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Column]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[S&P]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CHP]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Presidential Elections]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Necmettin Erbakan]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://politicstoday.org/chps-possible-strategies-for-the-2019-election/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<div><img width="300" height="200" src="https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/5c829a2c-72d7-4055-a9f4-c30513fe068c-scaled-1-300x200.jpg" class="attachment-medium size-medium wp-post-image" alt="" style="margin-bottom: 15px;" decoding="async" fetchpriority="high" srcset="https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/5c829a2c-72d7-4055-a9f4-c30513fe068c-scaled-1-300x200.jpg 300w, https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/5c829a2c-72d7-4055-a9f4-c30513fe068c-scaled-1-1024x683.jpg 1024w, https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/5c829a2c-72d7-4055-a9f4-c30513fe068c-scaled-1-768x512.jpg 768w, https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/5c829a2c-72d7-4055-a9f4-c30513fe068c-scaled-1-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/5c829a2c-72d7-4055-a9f4-c30513fe068c-scaled-1-2048x1366.jpg 2048w" sizes="(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px" /></div>
<p>From the 1970s onwards, Erbakan established four different political parties – all which were shut down by military coups or judiciaries serving tutelage regimes. The CHP is known to have served as the civilian leg of the tutelage regime that polarized the nation through secularism and the Kurdish question for years and acted as the fiercest opponent of the Erbakan wing.</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://politicstoday.org/chps-possible-strategies-for-the-2019-election/">CHP’s Possible Strategies for the 2019 Election</a> appeared first on <a href="https://politicstoday.org">Politics Today</a>.</p>
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										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div><img width="300" height="200" src="https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/5c829a2c-72d7-4055-a9f4-c30513fe068c-scaled-1-300x200.jpg" class="attachment-medium size-medium wp-post-image" alt="" style="margin-bottom: 15px;" decoding="async" loading="lazy" srcset="https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/5c829a2c-72d7-4055-a9f4-c30513fe068c-scaled-1-300x200.jpg 300w, https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/5c829a2c-72d7-4055-a9f4-c30513fe068c-scaled-1-1024x683.jpg 1024w, https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/5c829a2c-72d7-4055-a9f4-c30513fe068c-scaled-1-768x512.jpg 768w, https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/5c829a2c-72d7-4055-a9f4-c30513fe068c-scaled-1-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/5c829a2c-72d7-4055-a9f4-c30513fe068c-scaled-1-2048x1366.jpg 2048w" sizes="(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px" /></div><div class="wpb-content-wrapper"><div class="vc_row wpb_row vc_row-fluid"><div class="wpb_column vc_column_container vc_col-sm-8 vc_col-sm-offset-2"><div class="vc_column-inner"><div class="wpb_wrapper">    <div class="c-space  c-space--1 c-space--custom"></div>
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			<p><span class="r-es-drop-cap">A</span> Turkish proverb goes: “when a bald man dies, they say he had golden hair,” meaning that what was ugly or worthless seems beautiful or valuable once it has been lost. Six years after the death of one of Turkey’s leading political figures, Necmettin Erbakan, this saying has been viable for the attitude of the main opposition, the Republican People’s Party (CHP). From the 1970s onwards, Erbakan established four different political parties – all of which were shut down by military coups or judiciaries serving tutelage regimes. The CHP is known to have served as the civilian leg of the tutelage regime that polarized the nation through secularism and the Kurdish question for years and acted as the fiercest opponent of the Erbakan wing. The party also applauded the fall of the coalition government formed by Erbakan’s Welfare Party (RP) and the center-right True Path Party (DYP) on February 28, 1996.</p>
<p>When Abdullah Gul, who was also from Erbakan’s wing, was elected president in 2007, the CHP appealed to the Constitutional Court with the support of the military against Gul’s presidency on the grounds that the first lady was wearing a headscarf. For some reason, they did not oppose to the presidency of Koksal Toptan, who came from Suleyman Demirel’s wing although he was within the same party as Gul. As a result of an appeal filed by 134 CHP deputies including the party’s current chairman Kemal Kilicdaroglu for the cancellation of the election, the court cancelled the election with a scandalous ruling.</p>
<p>On February 27, 2018, the Felicity Party (SP) held a commemoration ceremony for the former Prime Minister Erbakan who passed away in 2011, one day before the 22<sup>nd</sup> anniversary of the February 28 memorandum. The CHP Chairman Kilicdaroglu also attended the ceremony and delivered a speech, which was televised live on pro-CHP Halk TV. Kilicdaroglu said he did not hesitate for a moment when he was invited and said “dear friends” while addressing an audience whom his party called reactionary for decades. After expressing that Erbakan was a widely-esteemed national figure and an exemplary patriot, Kilicdaroglu added that he was a politician who made no concessions on his beliefs, undauntedly fought all the pressures and was elected as prime minister thanks to democracy and his resoluteness.</p>

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			<p>Of course, Kilicdaroglu did not mention how he was overthrown. But while saying that “he did not pit the state up against the nation,” he implied that Erbakan did not defy the overthrowal of the democratically elected government by the military, hinting that point as a compliment. The crowd listening to his speech also seemed to have forgotten all the past incidents although the ones inviting and applauding Kilicdaroglu were once Erbakan’s colleagues. Apparently, they could not accept the fact that Recep Tayyip Erdogan founded the Justice and Development Party (AK Party) and achieved to be the ruling power for 15 years after leaving the RP.</p>
<p>At the latest election, Erbakan’s SP received 0.68 percent of the total vote. As this is added to the CHP’s 25.31 percent vote share, it still amounts to 25.99 percent. What really matters here is not the material effect of the 0.68 vote share. For the upcoming presidential elections, Kilicdaroglu aims to receive more than 51 percent. He says that what he wants to achieve is around 60-70 percent, which is a challenging task since there is no candidate as of yet. He probably won’t run for election. However, according to his statements, he can even support Gul, whose presidency he objected before, if Gul wants to run. It is not yet certain who will be the candidate, what kind of methods will be employed and whom they will ally with. On the other hand, the vote shares of the AK Party and the opposition Nationalist Movement Party (MHP), who decided to form an alliance for the presidential election, were respectively 49.99 and 11.90 percent in the above mentioned election. If the Great Union Party (BBP), who has 0.54 percent, joins the alliance, the total share will amount up to 62.43 percent. To consider the CHP’s alliance options, the largest party among others is the Peoples’ Democratic Party (HDP) with 10.76 percent, while the rest are as follows: The left-wing nationalist Patriotic Party (VP) with 0.25, late Bulent Ecevit’s Democratic Left Party (DSP) with 0.07, the Communist Party (KP) with 0.11, the People&#8217;s Salvation Party (HKP) with 0.18, the center-right DYP with 0.03, the Nation Party (MP) with 0.04, the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) with 0.06, the Independent Turkey Party (BTP) with 0.11, and the Rights and Freedoms Party (HAK-PAR) with 0.23.</p>
<p>Excluding the HDP, the total vote share of all the above-stated parties with different ideologies amounts to 1.08 percent. Plus, there is the newly established Iyi Party chaired by former MHP member Meral Aksener. According to surveys, the party will receive around 5-6 percent from the electorate of the CHP, the MHP and the AK Party, so it can be asserted that the party will not affect the overall vote splitting. However, even though both parties retain their vote share, the CHP and the Iyi Party from the nationalist tradition are concerned about being in the same bloc with the HDP, whose public image has been tarnished due to the party’s link to the terror group PKK. In this respect, Erbakan’s party has a symbolic importance rather than its material contribution in terms of vote share since it might add an Islamic and nationalist dimension to a possible alliance. The SP, meanwhile, is feigning reluctance to both sides due to its assumed value.</p>

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</div><p>The post <a href="https://politicstoday.org/chps-possible-strategies-for-the-2019-election/">CHP’s Possible Strategies for the 2019 Election</a> appeared first on <a href="https://politicstoday.org">Politics Today</a>.</p>
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		<title>L’Economie de la Turquie Après la Tentative du Coup d’État</title>
		<link>https://politicstoday.org/leconomie-de-la-turquie-apres-la-tentative-du-coup-detat/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Politics Today]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 04 Aug 2016 08:22:56 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Turkey]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Opinion]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Finance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fitch]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Moody's]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[S&P]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://politicstoday.org/leconomie-de-la-turquie-apres-la-tentative-du-coup-detat/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<div><img width="300" height="182" src="https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/Istanbul_Gece-3-300x182.jpg" class="attachment-medium size-medium wp-post-image" alt="" style="margin-bottom: 15px;" decoding="async" loading="lazy" srcset="https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/Istanbul_Gece-3-300x182.jpg 300w, https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/Istanbul_Gece-3-1024x622.jpg 1024w, https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/Istanbul_Gece-3-768x467.jpg 768w, https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/Istanbul_Gece-3.jpg 1168w" sizes="(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px" /></div>
<p>En la Turquie, le commerce est comme d’habitude et sera encore mieux que d’habitude. Tous ce dont le pays a besoin est un traitement juste et objectif qui est établi sur des informations véridiques.</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://politicstoday.org/leconomie-de-la-turquie-apres-la-tentative-du-coup-detat/">L’Economie de la Turquie Après la Tentative du Coup d’État</a> appeared first on <a href="https://politicstoday.org">Politics Today</a>.</p>
]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div><img width="300" height="182" src="https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/Istanbul_Gece-3-300x182.jpg" class="attachment-medium size-medium wp-post-image" alt="" style="margin-bottom: 15px;" decoding="async" loading="lazy" srcset="https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/Istanbul_Gece-3-300x182.jpg 300w, https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/Istanbul_Gece-3-1024x622.jpg 1024w, https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/Istanbul_Gece-3-768x467.jpg 768w, https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/Istanbul_Gece-3.jpg 1168w" sizes="(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px" /></div><div class="wpb-content-wrapper"><div class="vc_row wpb_row vc_row-fluid"><div class="wpb_column vc_column_container vc_col-sm-8 vc_col-sm-offset-2"><div class="vc_column-inner"><div class="wpb_wrapper">    <div class="c-space  c-space--5 c-space--custom"></div>
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<p><span class="r-es-drop-cap">L</span>e monde des affaires internationales pose beaucoup de questions sur l’économie turque après la tentative de coup d’état militaire dans le pays.  Cet article vise à clarifier divers aspects du sujet. À cet égard, nous commencerons par une évaluation des impacts initiaux de la tentative de coup d’état et puis discuterons ses reflets potentiels sur les perspectives économiques de la Turquie.</p>
<article class="col-xs-12 col-md-11">Le week-end après la tentative de putsch d’une junte militaire, le gouvernement et les institutions pertinentes de la Turquie ont rapidement annoncé un paquet de mesures préventives et ont assuré que la stabilité financière sera conservée.</article>
<article></article>
<article></article>
<article class="col-xs-12 col-md-11">De plus, les téléconférences faites par le gouvernement avec plusieurs institutions internationales de la finance ont aidé à améliorer la confidence. Ce qui importe c’est que, dès le début de la nouvelle semaine, le fonctionnement habituel du système financier a bien réussi. D’où, comme apprécié par le FMI, les efforts vifs d’esprit des officiels pendant le week-end chaotique ont adouci les potentiels effets tranchants dans l’économie.</article>
<article></article>
<article></article>
<article class="col-xs-12 col-md-11">D’autre part, une fluctuation aux marchés sur tel développement politique inattendu a été connue pour être inévitable. À cet égard, le CDS et le taux de change ainsi que des rendements d’obligations ont présenté des mouvements ascendants pendant les premiers jours de la semaine après le choc, avec une réaction négative de la bourse. À ce stade, on doit souligner que de telles réponses pessimistes acceptables ont été influencées par quelques préoccupations de l’état d’urgence annoncé dans le pays. En outre, la décision hâtive prise par S&amp;P concernant la Turquie a attristé les perceptions quelque peu.Néanmoins, dès la fin de la première semaine d’activité, la plupart des indicateurs ont commencé à présenter quelques redressements, en indiquant une digestion prospective au marché.</article>
<article></article>
<article></article>
<article class="col-xs-12 col-md-11">Pourtant on devrait débattre un peu du jugement de S&amp;P à ce stade.Juste cinq jours après la tentative du coup d’état, le 20 juillet, S&amp;P a annoncé son jugement pour baisser la note du pays de BB+ à BB, avec des perspectives négatives. Tout d’abord, il est très difficile à comprendre la hâte du S&amp;P tandis que la note qu’il avait donnée à la Turquie n’était déjà pas dans la catégorie d’investissement. De plus, même si les préoccupations d’incertitudes citées par l’institution sont assez compréhensibles dans une certaine mesure en premier lieu, une évaluation plus saine aurait été attentiste, comme les autres institutions ont choisi de faire. L’irrationalité du déclassement s’aggrave quand on tient compte des annonces convaincantes du gouvernement.</article>
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</style><div class="blog-shortcode blog-masonry-shortcode-id-fc3ee3ae246f8631e8994d97c656cff6 mode-grid classic-layout-list jquery-filter dt-css-grid-wrap dt-icon-bg-off resize-by-browser-width loading-effect-none description-under-image " data-padding="15px" data-cur-page="1" data-post-limit="-1" data-pagination-mode="none" data-desktop-columns-num="4" data-v-tablet-columns-num="2" data-h-tablet-columns-num="4" data-phone-columns-num="1" data-width="0px" data-columns="0"><div class="dt-css-grid" ><div class="visible wf-cell" data-post-id="30579" data-date="2026-08-19T06:20:07+03:00" data-name="Xi Calls for ‘Indomitable Fighting Spirit,’ Praises China’s Tiananmen Crackdown"><article class="post project-odd visible post-30579 type-post status-publish format-standard has-post-thumbnail hentry category-security category-news category-world tag-china pt_topic-human-rights pt_topic-global-economy category-34 category-1 category-24 description-off" data-name="Xi Calls for ‘Indomitable Fighting Spirit,’ Praises China’s Tiananmen Crackdown" data-date="2026-08-19T06:20:07+03:00">

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			<article>Qui plus est, le rejet de S&amp;P d’appel du gouvernement turc pour une consultation avant l’abaissement insinue que l’agence agit d’une manière subjective. On peut aussi observer des exemples liés du manque d’objectivité par une comparaison de la note avec celles de certaines autres économies.  À part toute cette absurdité, la coupe n’est pas attendue d’entrainer des effets dommageables directs sur l’économie turque, puisque S&amp;P avait déjà classé la Turquie en dessous du seuil d’investissement depuis toujours.</article>
<article class="col-xs-12 col-md-11">Alors que la décision de S&amp;P est pensée pour avoir un impact trivial, les arrêts  qui seront rendus par Fitch et Moody’s seront essentiels. Ces deux agences de notation ont tenu la Turquie dans la zone d’investissement depuis 2012 et 2013, respectivement, et vont déclarer leurs prochains verdicts en août.  Sur le choc de la tentative du coup d’état, Moody’s a mis le pays sous surveillance négative, en annonçant qu’il gardera un œil sur lui dans les mois à venir. Donc on pourrait dire qu’il y a une possibilité pour l’agence de prolonger la durée pour son jugement. D’autre part, Fitch a souligné les risques auxquels les banques turques pourraient être exposées dans l’avenir.Pris dans son ensemble, les déclarations de toutes les deux agences se concentrent sur les risques politiques après la tentative de coup d’état qui pourront dissuader les investisseurs et endommager le programme national de réforme. Par conséquent, leurs décisions seront probablement façonnées en grande partie par les signaux qui seront reçus sur les perspectives politiques à moyen terme et le dévouement du gouvernement pour les réformes. En outre, les indicateurs macroéconomiques ainsi que les mouvements des politiques économiques seront suivis de près.</p>
<p>Après avoir exprimé les arguments soulevés, il y a du sens à préciser quelques sujets pertinents dans un point de vue objectif. Une telle perspective est nécessaire à cause des nouvelles trompeuses qui sont disséminées à travers le media international. Avant tout, concernant les préoccupations et les perceptions erronées, un fait de base duquel nous devont être conscient est la nature de la tentative du coup d’état qui a été déjouée.</p>
<p>La Turquie, avec son économie de revenu moyen supérieur et ses longues années de stabilité politique est un pays moderne qui a laissé les coups d’Etat loin derrière elle au vingtième siècle. À cet égard, l’essai de la junte qui a  éclaté le 15 juillet ne peut être considéré comme une révolte militaire parce qu’il a été conspiré par FETO, un réseau terroriste secret qui s’était infiltré dans l’armée turque. Donc, les citoyens et leaders de la république de la Turquie avaient tous les droits pour défendre leur démocratie dans la nuit du 15 juillet contre la menace de FETÖ qui avait indubitablement déstabilisé le pays, d’une façon irréparable. Avoir repoussé le danger, les peuples de toutes les tendances politiques de la société sont fiers et attachés, en caressant les espoirs pour une démocratie plus forte.</p>
<p>Alors, le point essentiel qui amène à la réponse concernant la stabilité politique est au cœur de la purge du réseau terroriste de l’armée et la bureaucratie. Par conséquent, l’état d’urgence annoncé a l’intention d’achever cette mission d’une manière expéditive afin d’éliminer tous les risques pertinents à venir. C’est ainsi que les opérations contre l’organisation terroriste d’intérêt sont indispensables pour une stabilité plus forte que jamais à la Turquie. Cela soutient les fondamentaux de l’économie aussi à moyen et long terme. C’est pourquoi les agences de notation et tous les investisseurs qui portent sur la Turquie doivent jauger les développements derniers de ce point de vue principalement. À court terme, le processus ne va pas avoir des répercussions sur l’activité économique, comme souligné par le gouvernement. Une chose est sûre, ce contexte serait mieux compris par la France, qui est dans un état d’urgence.</p>
<p>D’un autre côté, il n’y a pas de doute que la vue macroéconomique est un pilier d’importance pour les décisions des acteurs économiques. À cet égard, le potentiel de croissance de l’économie turque est encore indéniablement prometteur et attend la mise en œuvre des réformes structurelles promises par le gouvernement. Les réformes, qui ciblent aussi une atmosphère favorable à l’investissement, sont attendues pour soulever la confidence d’ensemble et accélérer la performance économique à moyen terme.</p>
<p>À part ses perspectives de croissance, la Turquie est très connu pour sa discipline budgétaire et son secteur bancaire résistant. Bien que le déficit du compte courant était un problème structurel de l’économie, il a diminué graduellement et touché le fond récemment. Cependant la nécessité continue de financement est indéniable et d’où la confidence des investisseurs étrangers en économie turque a déjà une grande valeur.</p>
<p>Par conséquent, en rappelant son histoire croyable en termes de capacité à rembourser et  en soulignant les efforts en cours pour fortifier les perspectives politiques et économiques, la Turquie invite tous les associés mondiaux intéressés  à témoigner son attachement à un avenir lumineux.</p>
<p>En la Turquie, le commerce est comme d’habitude et sera encore mieux que d’habitude. Tous ce dont le pays a besoin est un traitement juste et objectif qui est établi sur  des informations véridiques. C’est pourquoi, en cas de besoin, les entreprises étrangères sont fortement encouragées à mettre en contact principalement avec le Ministère de l’économie de la Turquie, ainsi que les ONGs principales  et les ambassades affiliées pour obtenir des informations saines et détaillées.</p>
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</div><p>The post <a href="https://politicstoday.org/leconomie-de-la-turquie-apres-la-tentative-du-coup-detat/">L’Economie de la Turquie Après la Tentative du Coup d’État</a> appeared first on <a href="https://politicstoday.org">Politics Today</a>.</p>
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