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	<title>East Africa Archives - Politics Today</title>
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		<title>Radicalization and Terrorism in East Africa</title>
		<link>https://politicstoday.org/radicalization-and-terrorism-in-east-africa/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Politics Today]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 30 Sep 2023 12:03:11 +0000</pubDate>
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		<category><![CDATA[Africa]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[East Africa]]></category>
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<p>In East Africa, groups such as al-Shabaab used public spaces, including mosques and schools, to disseminate radical ideologies, particularly to young people.</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://politicstoday.org/radicalization-and-terrorism-in-east-africa/">Radicalization and Terrorism in East Africa</a> appeared first on <a href="https://politicstoday.org">Politics Today</a>.</p>
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			<p><span class="r-es-drop-cap">I</span></p>
<p>n East Africa, radicalization has targeted specific societal groups that experience real or perceived threats that are easy for terrorist organizations to exploit. The terrorist groups recruit members willingly into the ranks of their organizations to gain support for their acts of violence against groups they perceive as enemies.</p>
<p>It continues to be an issue of debate whether radicalization actually leads to violence. One side argues that there is no causal link between radicalization and violence, and that radicalization does not necessarily lead to violence. They contend that individuals should be allowed to hold radical views and that this should be recognized as part of social freedoms, including freedom of thought and expression.</p>
<p>The argument goes that there should be a limit to the extent to which security services should intervene when people believed to be radicalized are involved in violent acts. People believe that there are other factors that contribute to involvement in violence and radicalization, the surrounding environment being one of them.</p>
<p>A second group places more emphasis on the root causes of radicalization. They argue that individual factors, including psychological factors, are the main cause, and that certain types of people are more prone to being radicalized than others. Of course, in addition to these two groups, there are also those who argue in favor of social factors causing radicalization.</p>

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			<p>Read: <a href="https://politicstoday.org/chads-withdrawal-of-its-soldiers-from-g5-sahel-implications/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Chad’s Withdrawal of Half of Its Soldiers from G5 Sahel: Will it Have Implications?</a></p>

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			<p>However, this argument raises the question of whether every individual is equally susceptible to radical views and beliefs. The social primacy thesis is gaining momentum because it tends to link radicalization to social interactions and factors in the individual&#8217;s social environment which include exposure to poverty, education, environmental challenges, technological equipment, and access to technology.</p>
<p>The nature of radicalization and the means it uses have led to new debates including the question of whether individuals can become radicalized on their own, without the help or radical views of a third party. Even with little exposure to radical content, individuals have gained enormous potential for self-radicalization with the help of the internet whose impact on the field of radicalization has led to further differences of opinion.</p>
<p>For example, why when the internet provides easy access to radical content, some segments of society and individuals are potentially radicalized simply by accessing and consuming radical content, while others are not? Radical content is being accessed and processed differently by an increasing number of different internet users, but mass radicalization is not occurring. Online communication technologies have increased the likelihood that individuals who do not engage in violent acts will become radicalized.</p>

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			<p>Read: <a href="https://politicstoday.org/leadership-succession-terrorist-organizations/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Terror in Transition: Leadership and Succession in Terrorist Organizations</a></p>

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			<h3><strong>Radical terrorist organizations in East Africa</strong></h3>
<p>An analysis of some of the actors actively involved in radical terrorist groups in East Africa leads to interesting conclusions. Al-Shabaab, which has been linked to al-Qaeda since 2012, is the most active actor of radicalization and terrorist violence in East Africa. Based in Somalia, the group is highly radical and violent, carrying out attacks and recruitment activities both in Somalia and in many neighboring countries, including Kenya.</p>
<p>Other radical and violent actors with an increasing ability and capacity to adapt to transnational violence in East Africa include DAESH in Somalia, which is one of the main financial logistical bases for the DAESH terrorist organization, and Ansar al-Sunna, which has recently established a presence in the Cabo Delgado region of Mozambique. This group is believed to be involved in radicalization and recruitment activities, particularly in neighboring Rwanda and Tanzania. The radical ideologies of these three actors &#8211; al-Shabaab in Somalia, DAESH in Somalia, and Ansar al-Sunnah in Mozambique (another name for al-Shabaab)- are closely linked and thrive on exploiting local issues and Islamic beliefs.</p>
<p>Other violent extremists, such as the Allied Democratic Forces (ADF) in the Democratic Republic of Congo, which recently killed students in Uganda with machetes and by burning them to death, are considered to have a weak radicalization agenda, having been defeated by Ugandan forces for years. However, this is likely to change as a result of the ADF&#8217;s recent commitment to partnership with DAESH, and the rebranding and revitalizing of its activities.</p>

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			<p>Read: <a href="https://politicstoday.org/african-politics-tribal-violence-and-socio-economic-rivalry-in-africa/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">African Politics, Tribal Violence, and Socio-Economic Rivalry in Africa</a></p>

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			<h3><strong>How and why are they radicalized?</strong></h3>
<p>How do these actors conduct their radicalization and terror campaigns in East Africa? Who are their main targets and why? Violent actors have proven to be highly adaptable, particularly in response to counterterrorism measures implemented by legitimate authorities in the region. Initially, groups such as al-Shabaab used public spaces, including mosques and schools, to disseminate radical ideologies, particularly to young people. In Kenya, for example, where counterinsurgency operations can claim to be the most discreet, a number of iconic public mosques in Nairobi and Mombasa were infiltrated by pro-al-Shabaab clerics who conducted radicalization campaigns targeting young people.</p>
<p>Some of the clerics were high-profile Islamic figures who commanded respect among their followers, likely increasing the impact of their message and popularizing calls for violence in the name of jihad.</p>
<p>In addition to illiterate segments of the population, al-Shabaab also benefits from large numbers of educated and highly skilled but unemployed youth. The organization places great emphasis on using ethnic diversity, regional circumstances, and even family connections for radicalization and recruitment. Individuals targeted for radicalization are approached by people who are familiar and close to them, such as wives tasked with radicalizing their husbands. The increased reconnaissance and surveillance of open areas suitable for radicalization has limited the group&#8217;s activities to rural areas, where it targets young people.</p>
<p>Closer surveillance of open areas has also forced these groups to turn to online communication technologies, where they can target wider audiences with tailored messages, including translation into local languages. However, better regulation and control of online content by the authorities is preventing prolonged online radicalization. A fierce competition has emerged between the authorities and terrorist groups to open and close social media accounts, which, in turn, has led to almost instantaneous censorship of many online channels.</p>

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			<p>Read: <a href="https://politicstoday.org/djibouti-surrounded-by-military-bases-of-china-us-france-uk-germany-others/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">How Djibouti Surrounded Itself by Military Bases</a></p>

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			<h3><strong>Measures against extremism and terrorism</strong></h3>
<p>It is important to focus on the counter-radicalization measures taken by the authorities in East Africa. In terms of the effectiveness of these measures, the authorities have initiated three main approaches in partnership with civil society organizations and other groups within society, while developing key measures to increase society&#8217;s overall awareness and resilience to terrorist recruitment and radicalization. In the case of Kenya, key interventions have been decentralized to the county and grassroots levels for maximum impact.</p>
<p>Through public awareness programs such as “Epuka Ugaidi” (Shunning Terrorism), community members in Kenya were sensitized and equipped with the necessary skills to prevent radicalization at onset. Other measures include the use of intercommunity forums and even sensitizing critical sectors of society to increase the effectiveness of their role in countering radicalization. Somalia has prioritized the sensitization of academics, religious figures, and community leaders to maximize their influence in eradicating al-Shabaab narratives.</p>
<p>The second category of measures are more specific interventions targeting groups considered high risk and vulnerable to radicalization. However, such classifications are essentially meaningless and can undermine the effectiveness of counter-radicalization programs. Such profiling potentially fuels resistance and increases the likelihood of mass community radicalization.</p>

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<div class="post-entry-content">

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	</h3>

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			<p>Secondary measures to counter this are, therefore, more comprehensive and more likely to be community-led violence prevention initiatives. Reputable civil society organizations and faith-based groups have been involved in supporting community-led processes. The implementation of targeted secondary measures prioritizes the highest levels of transparency, respect, and honesty to achieve better results.</p>
<p>The final category of measures, called tertiary, targets those who have already been radicalized and joined violent groups. Rather than actively preventing violent groups from recruiting new members, tertiary programs aim to disadvantage violent groups by creating discord and discontent among new members, potentially leading to defections. Interventions have included disarmament, demobilization, deradicalization, and reintegration programs, particularly for those who have defected, been rescued, or returned from al-Shabaab.</p>
<p>For counter-radicalization purposes, the Kenyan and Somali authorities have granted amnesty to defectors and returnees in return for them sharing their views on their horrific experiences within the organization. The employment of defectors and returnees sends a strong anti-radicalization message to the general population. The exploitation and victimization of these individuals for the purposes of radicalization and recruitment to terrorist violence using religious texts to justify or explain acts of violence and terrorism.</p>

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</div><p>The post <a href="https://politicstoday.org/radicalization-and-terrorism-in-east-africa/">Radicalization and Terrorism in East Africa</a> appeared first on <a href="https://politicstoday.org">Politics Today</a>.</p>
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		<title>Abiy Ahmed: America’s Checkmate in East Africa’s Geopolitical Chessboard</title>
		<link>https://politicstoday.org/abiy-ahmed-americas-checkmate-in-east-africas-geopolitical-chessboard/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Politics Today]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 01 Nov 2018 03:31:22 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Opinion]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[World]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[US Foreign Policy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Horn of Africa]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Abiy Ahmed]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[East Africa]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Turkey]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[China]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ethiopia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Djibouti]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://politicstoday.org/abiy-ahmed-americas-checkmate-in-east-africas-geopolitical-chessboard/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<div><img width="300" height="200" src="https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/GettyImages-944709778-scaled-1-300x200.jpg" class="attachment-medium size-medium wp-post-image" alt="" style="margin-bottom: 15px;" decoding="async" loading="lazy" srcset="https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/GettyImages-944709778-scaled-1-300x200.jpg 300w, https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/GettyImages-944709778-scaled-1-1024x682.jpg 1024w, https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/GettyImages-944709778-scaled-1-768x512.jpg 768w, https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/GettyImages-944709778-scaled-1-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/GettyImages-944709778-scaled-1-2048x1365.jpg 2048w" sizes="(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px" /></div>
<p>Abiy Ahmed’s foreign policy reforms and the peace breeze sweeping the Horn of Africa is commendable and long-waited but the deafening geopolitical changes’ raison d’etre definitely lie elsewhere: the U.S. Secretary of State.</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://politicstoday.org/abiy-ahmed-americas-checkmate-in-east-africas-geopolitical-chessboard/">Abiy Ahmed: America’s Checkmate in East Africa’s Geopolitical Chessboard</a> appeared first on <a href="https://politicstoday.org">Politics Today</a>.</p>
]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div><img width="300" height="200" src="https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/GettyImages-944709778-scaled-1-300x200.jpg" class="attachment-medium size-medium wp-post-image" alt="" style="margin-bottom: 15px;" decoding="async" loading="lazy" srcset="https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/GettyImages-944709778-scaled-1-300x200.jpg 300w, https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/GettyImages-944709778-scaled-1-1024x682.jpg 1024w, https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/GettyImages-944709778-scaled-1-768x512.jpg 768w, https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/GettyImages-944709778-scaled-1-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/GettyImages-944709778-scaled-1-2048x1365.jpg 2048w" sizes="(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px" /></div><div class="wpb-content-wrapper"><div class="vc_row wpb_row vc_row-fluid"><div class="wpb_column vc_column_container vc_col-sm-8 vc_col-sm-offset-2"><div class="vc_column-inner"><div class="wpb_wrapper">    <div class="c-space  c-space--13 c-space--custom"></div>
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			<p><span class="r-es-drop-cap">E</span>ast Africa has witnessed an unprecedented geopolitical shake-up since Abiy Ahmed ascended to power as Ethiopia’s first ethnically Oromo premier earlier this year. His foreign policies were so swift and drastic that it caught his doubters and supporters alike off-guard. However, the region observers and political analysts struggled to decipher the substantiality of his foreign policies vis-à-vis the current ethnic-based internal decadence Ethiopia is going through.</p>
<p>Since Abiy Ahmed came to power, Ethiopia and Eritrea have normalized relations – the two countries were technically at war since 1998. Eritrea and Djibouti also smoothed ties between themselves after Ethiopia and other gulf states played a critical placatory role. Then for the first time in history, Ethiopia, Eritrea, and Somalia signed a tripartite security agreement of which the details and specifics are unknown to the public even now. Unforeseen seismic changes were altering the region’s geopolitical landscape. Yet all this was occurring as Ethiopia was undergoing neutrotic ethnic violence where more than 2 million people were displaced and rendered homeless.</p>
<p>A keen observer in the region’s geopolitical shifts and vicissitude would not reconcile Abiy’s foreign policy ambitions to Ethiopia’s internal ethnic psychosis. There is a lingering question: Where is Abiy Ahmed’s foreign policy pace and hubris sprouting from while domestic issues glare at him?</p>
<h2>The Horn of Africa: the new Sino-American geopolitical playground</h2>
<p>A geopolitical policy shift was evident in the U.S. 2018 National Defense Strategy outline: In a speech he made earlier this year, Defense Secretary James Mattis posited that it will be “great power competition, and not terrorism the primary focus of national security.” This change in U.S. foreign and defense policy can be interpreted as the U.S. administration accepting that it needs to engage with other great powers geographically, and leverage its political alliances in Africa to its advantage. This includes engaging with China and Turkey in the context of Africa. Coincidentally, earlier this year, General Thomas Waldhauser, AFRICOM Commander, informed Congress of the geopolitical risk the U.S. faced in the Horn of Africa. Both Turkey and China have military installations in Somalia and Djibouti respectively. This was understood as a threat to U.S. global interests and in particular U.S. interests in the strategic Red Sea and the Gulf of Aden.</p>
<p>The U.S. is wary of the growing Chinese and Turkish soft power influence in Africa. Chinese investments and Turkish humanitarian efforts in the region have surpassed the U.S. in the last decade. African states had on their disposal alternative foreign policy interlocutors and hence new forms of cooperation were possible and forged to their advantages. The U.S. fell out of favor in the age of Donald Trump’s America-first policy. The U.S. had to engage with African nations on a geopolitical level ground; the notions of security and anti-terrorism were hallowed and unsustainable in the face of a multi-polar world system.</p>

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	<div class="entry-meta"><span class="category-link"><a href="https://politicstoday.org/opinion/">Security</a></span><a class="author vcard" href="https://politicstoday.org/author/politics-today/" title="View all posts by Politics Today" rel="author">By <span class="fn">Politics Today</span></a></div>
	
	
</div></article></div><div class="visible wf-cell" data-post-id="30592" data-date="2026-08-24T11:37:25+03:00" data-name="Ankara After Washington and Tehran: Iraq’s Path to Development"><article class="post project-odd visible post-30592 type-post status-publish format-standard has-post-thumbnail hentry category-opinion category-economy category-middle-east category-world tag-turkey tag-iraq tag-middle-east tag-iran pt_topic-trade-wars pt_topic-sectarianism pt_topic-global-economy pt_topic-turkish-foreign-policy category-5 category-17 category-23 category-24 description-off" data-name="Ankara After Washington and Tehran: Iraq’s Path to Development" data-date="2026-08-24T11:37:25+03:00">

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		<a href="https://politicstoday.org/ankara-after-washington-and-tehran-iraqs-path-to-development/" title="Ankara After Washington and Tehran: Iraq’s Path to Development" rel="bookmark">Ankara After Washington and Tehran: Iraq’s Path to Development</a>
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	<div class="entry-meta"><span class="category-link"><a href="https://politicstoday.org/opinion/">World</a></span><a class="author vcard" href="https://politicstoday.org/author/recep-tayyip-gurler/" title="View all posts by Recep Tayyip Gürler" rel="author">By <span class="fn">Recep Tayyip Gürler</span></a></div>
	
	
</div></article></div><div class="visible wf-cell" data-post-id="30598" data-date="2026-08-24T11:36:38+03:00" data-name="US Vows &#039;Economic D-Day&#039; as Iran Threatens to Halt Oil Exports"><article class="post project-odd visible post-30598 type-post status-publish format-standard has-post-thumbnail hentry category-news category-economy category-middle-east category-world category-security tag-iran tag-united-states pt_topic-trade-wars pt_topic-global-economy category-1 category-17 category-23 category-24 category-34 description-off" data-name="US Vows &#8216;Economic D-Day&#8217; as Iran Threatens to Halt Oil Exports" data-date="2026-08-24T11:36:38+03:00">

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		<a href="https://politicstoday.org/us-vows-economic-d-day-as-iran-threatens-to-halt-oil-exports/" class="post-thumbnail-rollover" ><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="preload-me aspect" src="https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/08/treasury-secretary-scott-bessent-760x534.jpg" srcset="https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/08/treasury-secretary-scott-bessent-760x534.jpg 760w" style="--ratio: 760 / 534" sizes="(max-width: 760px) 100vw, 760px" alt="" title="Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent" width="760" height="534"  /></a>	</div>
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		<a href="https://politicstoday.org/us-vows-economic-d-day-as-iran-threatens-to-halt-oil-exports/" title="US Vows &#8216;Economic D-Day&#8217; as Iran Threatens to Halt Oil Exports" rel="bookmark">US Vows &#8216;Economic D-Day&#8217; as Iran Threatens to Halt Oil Exports</a>
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	<div class="entry-meta"><span class="category-link"><a href="https://politicstoday.org/opinion/">World</a></span><a class="author vcard" href="https://politicstoday.org/author/politics-today/" title="View all posts by Politics Today" rel="author">By <span class="fn">Politics Today</span></a></div>
	
	
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			<p>It is in this approach that the fast-changing geopolitical landscape of East Africa can be understood and comprehended. Ethiopia has been central to the U.S. fight against terrorism in East Africa – the Ethiopian army invaded Somalia to dismantle the Al-Qaeda affiliated Islamic Courts Union (ICU) in 2006 with the backing of the U.S. Today they are part and parcel of AMISOM efforts to fight Al-Shabaab. Abiy Ahmed, a former member of the Ethiopian army and the founder of its Cyber-security intelligence department was elected by the ruling Ethiopian Peoples’ Democratic Revolutionary Front (EPDRF) to spear-head the country out of the three-year long protests and ethnic violence that engulfed the most populous nation in East Africa. To his credit, the new Prime Minister was cathartic to Ethiopia’s dire conditions, but his foreign policy forays captured global news head-lines.</p>
<h2>Containing Turkish and Chinese influences in the Horn of Africa</h2>
<p>Shortly after the unprecedented rapprochement with Eritrea, on 24 July this year, Ethiopia’s Abiy Ahmed alongside Isaias Afwerki of Eritrea were in the United Arab Emirates for a tripartite summit. They were received majestically. On 20 September this year, Afwerki was again in the UAE for diplomatic talks. Saudi Arabia and Gulf nations, with the exception of Qatar, were already wary of Turkish and Chinese diplomatic forays into the Horn of Africa: Somalia, a regional ally of Turkey just closed the Emirati embassy in Mogadishu and Djibouti– where China established its first military base– terminated all contracts of the UAE state-owned DP world contracts over operational disputes in the Port of Doraleh. The summit was recognized as a Saudi and UAE (inevitably and ultimately the U.S.) efforts to salvage their geopolitical influence in the face of a growing Turkish and Chinese influence in the region. In their visit, the UAE Crown Prince conferred both leaders with the UAE’s highest award. Shortly after the summit was concluded, Eritrea information minister tweeted that the summit fostered <a href="http://www.africanews.com/2018/07/24/photos-ethiopia-eritrea-leaders-meet-in-uae-awarded-for-/">“a broader and robust regional cooperation and coordination.”</a></p>
<p>Rashid Abdi, the International Crisis Group’s Horn of Africa Director emphasized the role of the U.S. in the tripartite summit and lifting of Eritrea’s sanctions. To counter Turkish and Chinese influence in the horn, a new ally in the name of Eritrea has to be saved first from the doldrums of international sanctions. It is in this consciousness that Abiy Ahmed prioritized normalization of relations with Eritrea. Eritrea was going the way of Iran, Syria, and Cuba and to save-guard U.S. regional interests and security, engaging the tiny nation was inevitable and necessary. Mehari Taddele Maru, a scholar of peace and security observed that the U.S. modus operandi in the Horn of Africa changed drastically: Eritrea has to be “fetched” from diplomatic isolation hence his notion of “Eritrea in, Djibouti out” of the U.S. strategic approach to the Horn of <a href="https://www.aljazeera.com/indepth/opinion/political-horn-africa-181009105638922.html">Africa</a>. Somalia – a Turkish sphere of influence – and Djibouti – a Chinese sphere of influence – would be countered and checked with Ethiopia and diplomatically reinvigorated and exorcised Eritrea.</p>
<p>The U.S. is totally in support of the new axis of political alliance that has emerged at the ruins of the Qatari blockade: Saudi Arabia, Egypt, UAE, Bahrain, and Jordan. This comes at the expense of Turkish and Qatari interest in the larger Muslim world and strategic Horn of Africa. A shift is already apparent in U.S. geopolitical strategy: strengthening regional allies geopolitically; propping-up new allies (in this case Eritrea) and other partners in the face of a growing global multi-polar new order. The geopolitical and foreign policy changes in the Horn of Africa ought to be seen in the underlying dynamics of U.S. foreign policy and its perceived threats from other spheres of influences. Abiy Ahmed’s foreign policy reforms and the peace breeze sweeping the Horn of Africa is commendable and long-waited but the deafening geopolitical changes’ raison d’etre definitely lie elsewhere: the U.S. Secretary of State.</p>

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</div><p>The post <a href="https://politicstoday.org/abiy-ahmed-americas-checkmate-in-east-africas-geopolitical-chessboard/">Abiy Ahmed: America’s Checkmate in East Africa’s Geopolitical Chessboard</a> appeared first on <a href="https://politicstoday.org">Politics Today</a>.</p>
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