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		<title>IISS Releases Annual Armed Conflict Survey, Highlighting Key Global Hotspots</title>
		<link>https://politicstoday.org/iiss-annual-armed-conflict-survey/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Politics Today]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 07 Feb 2024 09:00:12 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[World]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Security]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Geopolitics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Arms]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Arms Trade]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[<div><img width="300" height="200" src="https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/02/conflicts-in-2023-300x200.jpg" class="attachment-medium size-medium wp-post-image" alt="" style="margin-bottom: 15px;" decoding="async" fetchpriority="high" srcset="https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/02/conflicts-in-2023-300x200.jpg 300w, https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/02/conflicts-in-2023-768x513.jpg 768w, https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/02/conflicts-in-2023.jpg 800w" sizes="(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px" /></div>
<p>The 2023 armed conflict survey by IISS identifies intractability as the defining feature of the current global conflict landscape. </p>
<p>The post <a href="https://politicstoday.org/iiss-annual-armed-conflict-survey/">IISS Releases Annual Armed Conflict Survey, Highlighting Key Global Hotspots</a> appeared first on <a href="https://politicstoday.org">Politics Today</a>.</p>
]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div><img width="300" height="200" src="https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/02/conflicts-in-2023-300x200.jpg" class="attachment-medium size-medium wp-post-image" alt="" style="margin-bottom: 15px;" decoding="async" loading="lazy" srcset="https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/02/conflicts-in-2023-300x200.jpg 300w, https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/02/conflicts-in-2023-768x513.jpg 768w, https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/02/conflicts-in-2023.jpg 800w" sizes="(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px" /></div><div class="wpb-content-wrapper"><div class="vc_row wpb_row vc_row-fluid"><div class="wpb_column vc_column_container vc_col-sm-8 vc_col-sm-offset-2"><div class="vc_column-inner"><div class="wpb_wrapper">    <div class="c-space  c-space--1 c-space--custom"></div>
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			<p><span class="r-es-drop-cap">T</span></p>
<p>he International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS) has unveiled its highly anticipated Armed Conflict Survey for 2023, providing a comprehensive analysis of ongoing conflicts worldwide. The report delves into the political, military, and humanitarian aspects of active conflicts, offering a valuable resource for policymakers and analysts.</p>
<p>Notably, researchers from the Clingendael Institute have made significant contributions to this edition, adding their expertise to the chapters on Mali, Burkina Faso, Niger, and Chad.</p>
<p>The Armed Conflict Survey 2023 provides a comprehensive overview of the contemporary global conflict landscape, offering valuable insights into the intricate web of factors contributing to conflicts and their far-reaching repercussions.</p>

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			<p>Read: <a href="https://politicstoday.org/african-geopolitics-risks-and-opportunities/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">African Geopolitics: Risks and Opportunities</a></p>

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			<h3><strong>Intractability</strong></h3>
<p>The survey identifies intractability as the defining feature of the current global conflict landscape. This complexity is fueled by the proliferation of non-state armed groups (NSAGs) with intricate and overlapping motives, external interference, and the accelerating impact of climate change.</p>
<p>The survey sheds light on the growing involvement of emerging and revisionist powers in internal conflicts. These powers often diverge from democratic principles and the prevailing rule-based international order. This trend contributes to democratic backsliding in fragile regions globally and amplifies geopolitical fragmentation in the Global South.</p>
<p>The 2023 edition adopts an expanded regional focus to better capture the transnational drivers and repercussions of conflicts. It includes Regional Spotlight chapters addressing trends of global and regional strategic importance.</p>

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			<p>Read: <a href="https://politicstoday.org/russia-expands-military-amid-ukraine-conflict-putin-orders-170000-new-troops/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Russia Expands Military Amid Ukraine Conflict: Putin Orders 170,000 New Troops</a></p>

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			<h3><strong>Regional </strong><strong>spotlight </strong><strong>chapters:</strong></h3>
<ul>
<li>Drug-Trafficking Dynamics in the Americas: Examines shifting dynamics in drug trafficking.</li>
<li>Security Guarantees in Ukraine: Explores the centrality of security guarantees in Ukraine’s reconstruction efforts.</li>
<li>Converging Crises in North Africa: Discusses policy best practices to address climate, political, and food insecurity crises.</li>
<li>Changing Nature of Jihadism in Sub-Saharan Africa: Analyzes evolving trends in jihadism.</li>
<li>Re-emergence of Tehrik-e-Taliban in Pakistan: Explores implications for Asian security.</li>
</ul>
<p>The Armed Conflict Survey 2023 emphasizes the evolving nature of conflicts, geopolitical shifts, and emerging threats. With detailed analyses and rich visual aids, the report is poised to influence security policymaking and provide a crucial reference for those deeply involved in understanding armed conflicts worldwide.</p>

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</div><p>The post <a href="https://politicstoday.org/iiss-annual-armed-conflict-survey/">IISS Releases Annual Armed Conflict Survey, Highlighting Key Global Hotspots</a> appeared first on <a href="https://politicstoday.org">Politics Today</a>.</p>
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		<title>Palestine: A History of Settler Colonialism and Resistance, 1917-2017</title>
		<link>https://politicstoday.org/palestine-a-history-of-settler-colonialism-and-resistance-1917-2017/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Politics Today]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 30 Nov 2023 09:49:14 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Middle East]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Books In-Brief]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Colonialism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Resistance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Arab-Israeli conflict]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nakba]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Zionism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Israel]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Gaza]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[palestine]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Geopolitics]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://politicstoday.org/?p=28747</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<div><img width="200" height="300" src="https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/the-hundred-years-war-on-palestine-200x300.jpg" class="attachment-medium size-medium wp-post-image" alt="" style="margin-bottom: 15px;" decoding="async" loading="lazy" srcset="https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/the-hundred-years-war-on-palestine-200x300.jpg 200w, https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/the-hundred-years-war-on-palestine.jpg 533w" sizes="(max-width: 200px) 100vw, 200px" /></div>
<p>Read how Rashid Khalidi challenges conventional interpretations that frame the Israeli-Palestinian conflict merely as a tragic clash of competing nationalisms. </p>
<p>The post <a href="https://politicstoday.org/palestine-a-history-of-settler-colonialism-and-resistance-1917-2017/">Palestine: A History of Settler Colonialism and Resistance, 1917-2017</a> appeared first on <a href="https://politicstoday.org">Politics Today</a>.</p>
]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div><img width="200" height="300" src="https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/the-hundred-years-war-on-palestine-200x300.jpg" class="attachment-medium size-medium wp-post-image" alt="" style="margin-bottom: 15px;" decoding="async" loading="lazy" srcset="https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/the-hundred-years-war-on-palestine-200x300.jpg 200w, https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/the-hundred-years-war-on-palestine.jpg 533w" sizes="(max-width: 200px) 100vw, 200px" /></div><div class="wpb-content-wrapper"><div class="vc_row wpb_row vc_row-fluid"><div class="wpb_column vc_column_container vc_col-sm-8 vc_col-sm-offset-2"><div class="vc_column-inner"><div class="wpb_wrapper">    <div class="c-space  c-space--8 c-space--custom"></div>
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			<p><span class="r-es-drop-cap">E</span>mbarking on a reflective journey through the memories and heirlooms passed down through generations within one&#8217;s family can lead to a profound exploration of the historical narrative embedded in one&#8217;s heritage.</p>
<p><em>The Hundred Years&#8217; War on Palestine: A History of Settler Colonial Conquest and Resistance, 1917-2017</em> by Rashid Khalidi, a distinguished US historian of the Middle East, stands as a monumental account, representing the first comprehensive history of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict from an explicitly Palestinian perspective. Khalidi&#8217;s familial connection to the history of the region adds a personal and unique dimension to his groundbreaking narrative.</p>
<p>In crafting this extraordinary work, Khalidi draws on a wealth of archival materials and firsthand accounts from his eminent family members, including mayors, judges, scholars, diplomats, and journalists. This meticulous approach not only adds originality and depth to the book but also imparts an authoritative touch to the narrative.</p>
<p>The journey through time commences in 1899 with a poignant letter from Yusuf Diya al-Khalidi, the mayor of Jerusalem and the great-great-uncle of the author. In this letter, al-Khalidi warns Zionist founder Theodore Herzl about the perilous consequences of the Zionist movement&#8217;s ambition to establish a Jewish national home in Palestine.</p>

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			<p>Read: <a href="https://politicstoday.org/palestine-matters-of-truth-and-justice/">Palestine: Matters of Truth and Justice</a></p>

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	</div>
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			<p>This moment, according to Khalidi, serves as the prologue to the prevailing Zionist narrative, marked by the dismissal of indigenous populations and their interests as inconsequential. Khalidi provides a meaningful reflection on this letter, offering his unique and authentic perspective.</p>
<p>Weaving together personal history with pivotal events that have shaped the conflict, Khalidi challenges conventional interpretations that frame the Israeli-Palestinian conflict merely as a tragic clash of competing nationalisms. Instead, he unfolds a narrative of colonial warfare waged against the Palestinians, underscoring its underappreciated centrality to the issue.</p>
<p>This colonial campaign, initiated by the Zionist movement and later endorsed by the state of Israel with the support of influential global powers, including Britain and the United States, becomes a focal point of Khalidi&#8217;s analysis.</p>

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			<p>Read: <a href="https://politicstoday.org/israels-no-state-solution-in-palestine/">Israel’s No-State Solution in Palestine: How Should the Palestinians Respond?</a></p>

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			<p>The author thoroughly examines key episodes in this colonial campaign, ranging from the influential 1917 Balfour Declaration to the catastrophic events of Nakba in 1948, and subsequent conflicts, including Israel&#8217;s 1982 invasion of Lebanon and the seemingly perpetual and fruitless peace process.</p>
<p><em>The Hundred Years&#8217; War on Palestine</em> transcends the portrayal of Palestinians as mere victims and avoids whitewashing mistakes made by Palestinian leaders. Instead, it serves as a testament to Palestinian resilience, aiming to illuminate historical aspects conveniently overlooked by opposing narratives. Khalidi also brings balance to his narrative by acknowledging the emergence of national movements on both sides of the conflict.</p>
<p>By reevaluating the historical forces arrayed against the Palestinians, Khalidi offers readers an enlightening and transformative perspective on a conflict that continues to shape the geopolitical landscape today. This book is an essential read for those seeking a nuanced and comprehensive understanding of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict and its enduring impact on the region.</p>
<p><strong>Rashid Khalidi, <em>The Hundred Years&#8217; War on Palestine: A History of Settler Colonial Conquest and Resistance, 1917-2017</em> (Metropolitan Books, 2020) ISBN: 9781627798556, 336 pages</strong></p>

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</style><div class="blog-shortcode blog-masonry-shortcode-id-24cfb186229f9124c898823a3d23323c mode-grid classic-layout-list jquery-filter dt-css-grid-wrap dt-icon-bg-off resize-by-browser-width loading-effect-none description-under-image " data-padding="15px" data-cur-page="1" data-post-limit="-1" data-pagination-mode="none" data-desktop-columns-num="4" data-v-tablet-columns-num="2" data-h-tablet-columns-num="4" data-phone-columns-num="1" data-width="0px" data-columns="0"><div class="dt-css-grid" ><div class="visible wf-cell" data-post-id="30636" data-date="2026-09-04T11:04:33+03:00" data-name="India’s Gen Alpha Takes to the Streets, Demanding Better Schools"><article class="post project-odd visible post-30636 type-post status-publish format-standard has-post-thumbnail hentry category-news category-politics category-education category-world tag-india-protest tag-india pt_topic-human-rights pt_topic-sectarianism category-1 category-16 category-20 category-24 description-off" data-name="India’s Gen Alpha Takes to the Streets, Demanding Better Schools" data-date="2026-09-04T11:04:33+03:00">

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	</h3>

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</div></article></div></div><!-- iso-container|iso-grid --></div></div></div></div></div>    <div class="c-space  c-space--14 c-space--custom"></div>
<style>.c-space--14:before { padding-bottom: 35px; }</style></div></div></div></div>
</div><p>The post <a href="https://politicstoday.org/palestine-a-history-of-settler-colonialism-and-resistance-1917-2017/">Palestine: A History of Settler Colonialism and Resistance, 1917-2017</a> appeared first on <a href="https://politicstoday.org">Politics Today</a>.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
					
		
		
			</item>
		<item>
		<title>Palestine: Matters of Truth and Justice</title>
		<link>https://politicstoday.org/palestine-matters-of-truth-and-justice/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Politics Today]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 17 Nov 2023 03:59:14 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Books In-Brief]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Middle East]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Gaza]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Deal of the Century]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Justice]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ethnic Cleansing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[palestine]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Gaza War]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Geopolitics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Arab-Israeli conflict]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Occupation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Israel]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Palestine Liberation Organization]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://politicstoday.org/palestine-matters-of-truth-and-justice-2/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<div><img width="204" height="300" src="https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/91xm6pk2dil-sy466-204x300.jpg" class="attachment-medium size-medium wp-post-image" alt="" style="margin-bottom: 15px;" decoding="async" loading="lazy" srcset="https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/91xm6pk2dil-sy466-204x300.jpg 204w, https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/91xm6pk2dil-sy466.jpg 317w" sizes="(max-width: 204px) 100vw, 204px" /></div>
<p>As an urgent path to long-lasting peace is needed, Palestine: Matters of Justice and Truth offers some answers.</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://politicstoday.org/palestine-matters-of-truth-and-justice/">Palestine: Matters of Truth and Justice</a> appeared first on <a href="https://politicstoday.org">Politics Today</a>.</p>
]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div><img width="204" height="300" src="https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/91xm6pk2dil-sy466-204x300.jpg" class="attachment-medium size-medium wp-post-image" alt="" style="margin-bottom: 15px;" decoding="async" loading="lazy" srcset="https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/91xm6pk2dil-sy466-204x300.jpg 204w, https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/91xm6pk2dil-sy466.jpg 317w" sizes="(max-width: 204px) 100vw, 204px" /></div><div class="wpb-content-wrapper"><div class="vc_row wpb_row vc_row-fluid"><div class="wpb_column vc_column_container vc_col-sm-8 vc_col-sm-offset-2"><div class="vc_column-inner"><div class="wpb_wrapper">    <div class="c-space  c-space--15 c-space--custom"></div>
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			<p><span class="r-es-drop-cap">B</span>orn out of a lecture on the &#8216;deal of the century&#8217;, <em>Palestine: Matters of Truth and Justice</em> offers a thought-provoking analysis of the Palestine-Israel conflict, settler colonialism, occupation, and the issue of Palestinian nationhood. In the book, prominent scholar Azmi Bishara advocates for a justice-based approach and makes the important distinction of approaching the issue at hand with objectivity rather than neutrality.</p>
<p><em>Palestine: Matters of Truth and Justice</em> is composed of two parts; First is a historical account and reflections on history, and the second addresses the Trump-Netanyahu deal, the concepts of settler colonialism and apartheid, and the question as to what comes next in the future.</p>
<p>The book begins by emphasizing the significance of the Nakba (Palestinian Catastrophe), not merely as a historical context but a central element in understanding the ongoing issue. Bishara delves into the Nakba&#8217;s impact and its symbolic importance. The book highlights the core problem as settler colonialism, which involved occupation, expropriation, ethnic cleansing, and the displacement of the native population to establish a Jewish state.</p>

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			<p>Read: <a href="https://politicstoday.org/apartheid-and-settler-colonialism-south-africa-to-palestine/">Apartheid and Settler-colonialism: A look at South Africa to Palestine</a></p>

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			<p>Azmi Bishara argues that the Palestinian question is a matter of justice rather than a policy dilemma. To him, justice, in the context of Palestine, revolves around achieving equilibrium between equality and freedom for both Palestinians and Israelis. Bishara presents two forms of equality: equal citizenship in a single state or equality between two separate, sovereign states.</p>
<p>He highlights that the Palestinian issue is the last remaining unresolved instance of settler colonialism. Meanwhile, Israel&#8217;s insistence on maintaining a state based on ethno-religious dominance and refusal to acknowledge historic injustice further complicates the issue.</p>
<p>With normalization of the occupation, an ongoing case of settler colonialism in Palestine has transformed into a brutal apartheid regime over time. He further talks about the overlap between the &#8220;Arab question,&#8221; and the &#8220;Jewish question.&#8221;</p>

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			<p>Read: <a href="https://politicstoday.org/ten-myths-about-israel/">Ten Myths about Israel</a></p>

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			<p>When examining the Trump-Netanyahu deal, Bishara highlights the economic and political incentives and alliances that influenced it. He addresses the embrace of religious Zionism in the Trump administration and its role in the deal, and underscores how regional governments have sought to sideline the Palestinian cause and normalize relations with Israel.</p>
<p>The book concludes by discussing potential future strategies for the Palestinian struggle. Bishara indentifies that the task ahead is not ultimately theoretical and abstract but also practical and strategic- depending on a number of factors including political actors, the strength of resistance and the nature of international order.</p>
<p>In summary, the book provides a comprehensive analysis of the historical context, complexities, and possible paths forward in the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, emphasizing the significance of justice as a fundamental aspect of resolution.</p>
<p>The book comes as a valuable source following the escalation on October 7 that developed into a humanitarian crisis with Israel’s heavy bombardment in Gaza. As an urgent path to longlasting peace is needed, <em>Palestine: Matters of Justice and Truth</em> may offer some answers.</p>
<p><strong>Azmi Bishara, <em>Palestine: Matters of Justice and Truth</em> (Hurst Publishers, 2022) ISBN: 9781787387102, 360 pages</strong></p>

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</style><div class="blog-shortcode blog-masonry-shortcode-id-24cfb186229f9124c898823a3d23323c mode-grid classic-layout-list jquery-filter dt-css-grid-wrap dt-icon-bg-off resize-by-browser-width loading-effect-none description-under-image " data-padding="15px" data-cur-page="1" data-post-limit="-1" data-pagination-mode="none" data-desktop-columns-num="4" data-v-tablet-columns-num="2" data-h-tablet-columns-num="4" data-phone-columns-num="1" data-width="0px" data-columns="0"><div class="dt-css-grid" ><div class="visible wf-cell" data-post-id="30636" data-date="2026-09-04T11:04:33+03:00" data-name="India’s Gen Alpha Takes to the Streets, Demanding Better Schools"><article class="post project-odd visible post-30636 type-post status-publish format-standard has-post-thumbnail hentry category-news category-politics category-education category-world tag-india-protest tag-india pt_topic-human-rights pt_topic-sectarianism category-1 category-16 category-20 category-24 description-off" data-name="India’s Gen Alpha Takes to the Streets, Demanding Better Schools" data-date="2026-09-04T11:04:33+03:00">

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	<div class="entry-meta"><span class="category-link"><a href="https://politicstoday.org/category/energy/">Energy</a></span><a class="author vcard" href="https://politicstoday.org/author/politics-today/" title="View all posts by Politics Today" rel="author">By <span class="fn">Politics Today</span></a></div>
	
	
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</div><p>The post <a href="https://politicstoday.org/palestine-matters-of-truth-and-justice/">Palestine: Matters of Truth and Justice</a> appeared first on <a href="https://politicstoday.org">Politics Today</a>.</p>
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		<title>“Russia Can’t Win the Economic War, but the West Can Lose It.” BookTalk with Maximilian Hess</title>
		<link>https://politicstoday.org/economic-war-booktalk-maximillian-hess/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Politics Today]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 18 Sep 2023 09:25:41 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Interview]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[World]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[BookTalk]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ukraine]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[United States]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[European Security]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[European Union]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[U.S.-Russia Relations]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Geopolitics]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Putin]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[<div><img width="300" height="300" src="https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/maximillianhess-300x300.jpg" class="attachment-medium size-medium wp-post-image" alt="" style="margin-bottom: 15px;" decoding="async" loading="lazy" srcset="https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/maximillianhess-300x300.jpg 300w, https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/maximillianhess-150x150.jpg 150w, https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/maximillianhess.jpg 400w" sizes="(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px" /></div>
<p>"Rather than a 'New Cold War,' we are witnessing the culmination of an economic war with Russia, where the financial, energy, and capital markets are the battlegrounds."</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://politicstoday.org/economic-war-booktalk-maximillian-hess/">“Russia Can’t Win the Economic War, but the West Can Lose It.” BookTalk with Maximilian Hess</a> appeared first on <a href="https://politicstoday.org">Politics Today</a>.</p>
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			<p><span class="r-es-drop-cap">R</span><em>ather than a &#8220;New Cold War,&#8221; we are now witnessing the culmination of an economic war with Russia, where the financial, energy, and capital markets are the battlegrounds. In his timely book, <u>Economic War: Ukraine and the Global Conflict between Russia and the West</u>, political risk analyst and consultant Maximilian Hess takes the reader through the period in which the seeds of economic warfare are sprouting into full bloom: from the initial invasion of Ukraine in 2014 to Russia&#8217;s full-scale invasion in 2022 and beyond. </em><em> </em></p>
<p><em>The book skillfully delves into various economic fronts around the world, demonstrating the weaponization of economic tools such as pipelines, mining, credit, and cryptocurrencies. Each chapter unfolds like a chess game between Russia and the West, allowing the reader to map the moves of the contestants both chronologically and regionally, including Russia&#8217;s response to Western sanctions and what is at stake for each party.</em></p>

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			<p><strong>Q. Thank you for accepting our interview invitation. I would like to start with the role of Eurobonds in the economic war leading up to the Russian invasion of Ukraine. Were they important?</strong></p>
<p>It is my pleasure to have this conversation with you about my book. I think Eurobonds played an important role in the first Russian invasion of Ukraine. In 2014, as I argue in the book, there was a series of estimative steps taken by both sides in the preceding years that essentially brought the international economy into this conflict, as Vladimir Putin sought to use economic tools to maintain leverage over Ukraine and push Ukraine into the Eurasian Economic Union in 2013. Even as there were major protests against this and against the then Yanukovych government in Ukraine.</p>
<p>Putin essentially engineered a bailout of the Ukrainian state using Eurobonds, which is not a way governments typically lend to other governments, and the effect of lending in this way and specifically changing and adding some sentences to the legal contracts that underpin the Eurobond was to ensure that any escalation of the crisis in Ukraine occurred —either a break between the Yanukovych government and Putin or a successful revolution— that not only would Ukraine be plunged into an economic crisis, but that this crisis would be elevated to a crisis over some of the fundamental roles and in particular the primary position of the United States in the international economic order.</p>
<p>I think it was a very clear and deliberate attempt by the Kremlin to bring this conflict, if it escalated into a conflict, as Putin ultimately chose to do, to a brink that would also bring the international economic order into this conflict.</p>
<p><strong>Q. Initially, when the U.S. imposed sanctions on Russia after its annexation of Crimea… How did Russia take advantage of internal tensions in the West?</strong><strong> </strong></p>
<p>The Kremlin has long used natural gas, in particular, and other economic incentives to divide Europe both among itself and between the European Union member states and the United States. The clearest and most obvious way has been its strategy of building gas pipelines, such as Germany&#8217;s Nordstream 1 and Nordstream 2. What I would like to emphasize is that even Nordstream 1 was always a primary effort to give Russia more leverage over Central and especially Eastern Europe by bifurcating the European gas market.</p>

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			<p>Read: <a href="https://politicstoday.org/russia-ukraine-war-anniversary-twelve-books/">Russia-Ukraine War Anniversary: Twelve Books on the War</a></p>

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			<p>There were a number of disputes in the early and mid-2000s between Russia and Ukraine over gas supplies and the terms thereof that led Russia to cut off deliveries and precipitated gas supply crunches in the wider European market. What I think people forget is that Nordstream 2 and Nordstream 1 were never intended to increase the total amount of Russian gas that could be pumped to Central Europe.</p>
<p>Instead, they were designed to ensure that Russia didn&#8217;t have to do it through Eastern Europe, in particular through Ukraine, so that Russia could then increase the leverage of its gas policy over Ukraine. We should have understood this risk at the time of Nordstream 2, because it was essentially designed to give Russia the same kind of leverage over other Eastern European states that it had gained over Ukraine.</p>
<p><strong>Q. Why do you think Putin choose to invade Ukraine specifically in February 2022? </strong></p>
<p>I think he thought it was an important time economically, when the West was weak and divided. He hoped that the sanctions response and the economic response would be less intense than it might have been at another time. Thinking in terms of change in 2020 and 2021, the end of the Trump administration and then the Biden administration that follows made it clear that there would be a concerted sanctions strategy.</p>
<p>He hoped that European unity would be weak and insufficient to resist him. Inflationary pressures from COVID-19 had already increased, and Russia had already begun to cut off its gas supplies to Europe. At the same time, he was preparing his troops to invade Ukraine and saw it as a moment when the West would be relatively weak economically and relatively vulnerable. Therefore, less likely to act against him and less likely to act in support of Ukraine. Which, of course, turned out to be a very big strategic miscalculation on his part.</p>

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			<p>Read: T<a href="https://politicstoday.org/economic-weapon-rise-of-sanctions-tool-modern-war/">he Economic Weapon: The Rise of Sanctions as a Tool of Modern War</a></p>

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			<p><strong>Q. Has Russia&#8217;s strategy of crippling Europe with gas cuts failed?</strong></p>
<p>Largely, I think it has failed. Not because of any failure within the strategy itself but because of collaborative actions on the part of the West. Intelligence was shared by the United States, by officials who had spoken on the record and had reached the assessment that there was a small chance that Russia wouldn&#8217;t invade Ukraine in October 2021, simply the brutal nature of Russia&#8217;s onslaught in February, and the fact that the Europeans saw an army of the largest form that had taken this action in Europe since World War II, made it clear to many European leaders that they had no other choice.</p>
<p>Putin was preparing, and did prepare, for a scenario in which Europe was fully on board with the sanctions regime through Russia&#8217;s fortress balance sheet strategy, the Kremlin’s process of building up large reserves of ‘hard currencies’ and gold. But now that the initial pain of that gas strategy is being felt, and inflation has been at such high levels for a year and a half. There are obviously still many politicians, particularly in Europe, such as former French President Nicolas Sarkozy, who are calling for a softer approach to Russia on these issues. That&#8217;s why Putin&#8217;s strategy is not one that is over; by threatening more economic pain, he can also undermine support for Ukraine in the long term. Global gas markets are much more fragile, and we could still see a new spike in gas prices this winter as a result of the Kremlin&#8217;s actions.</p>
<p><strong>Q. Did Putin pull out of the Black Sea grain deal in an attempt to revive the inflation weapon?</strong></p>
<p>I believe very strongly that this is what he is trying to do. It also gives him the tool of offering grain to African countries to gain more support there. I think we should be prepared for more actions by the Kremlin to deliberately try to stir up inflationary pressures, possibly trying to find a way to drive up prices, as well. The Kremlin really has only one major option, which is to threaten an export embargo and actually take action to make it look credible. That option is difficult because Russia&#8217;s budget is now so skewed toward the military.</p>

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			<p>Read: <a href="https://politicstoday.org/energy-price-russian-gas-europe-ukraine-war/">Energy Price Cap: A New Instrument to Encircle Russia?</a></p>

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			<p><strong>Q. Do you think that cooperation is still a challenge within Europe, or the relations between the US And EU? What are some of the risks in the West’s strategy?</strong></p>
<p>I do think there&#8217;s been a tremendous improvement in U.S.-EU cooperation, as well as inter EU cooperation over the last year and a half. There is, of course, a lot of issues still within the EU to governments that are susceptible to Putin&#8217;s argument. Be it Hungary looking after their own interests, Belgium blocking action on sanctions for Russian diamonds, or Greece resisting certain shipping sanctions.</p>
<p>Then, of course, there&#8217;s the potential for more Russian friendly governments to come to power in various places, although, at the same time, in some of the European markets that get lesser attention, we&#8217;ve seen moves the other way. Bulgaria, for example, is taking action to weaken Russia&#8217;s economic influence over it for the first time in decades.</p>
<p>To address the second part of your question, I think Putin is aware that he could also stoke divisions over time. Right now, there&#8217;s broad alliance. The real risk to this strategy is around the U.S. election next year: it will almost certainly be a re-run of the 2020 election with Trump and Biden, and if Trump is elected he has made clear that he will abandon the West strategy and sue for peace immediately by succumbing to Putin’s attempts to annex Ukrainian territory, and that will have a far larger impact on the fundamental alliance than carping about whether XY or Z European country hits it&#8217;s 2% NATO defense spending target, and that would have much longer term impacts on the cohesion and effectiveness of the Western Alliance.</p>

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			<p>Read: <a href="https://politicstoday.org/central-asia-russia-ukraine/">Central Asia Countries “Tread a Fine Line” on Russia-Ukraine</a></p>

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			<p><strong>Q. Do you see BRICS creating a potential alternative economic order? Do you see any developments in the 15th BRICS Summit that could potentially hurt the West in the economic war?</strong></p>
<p>The thing about BRICS is that there&#8217;s a lot of division among the internal members. India and Brazil are very reluctant to accept new members. The Kremlin has talked about using the conference to create a new monetary order; that&#8217;s not going to happen, Putin couldn&#8217;t even attend this summit.</p>
<p>While BRICS announced plans to accept new members at the summit, it remains an organization that is primarily a public relations attempt for existing members, and even the institutions it has set up —most notably the New Development Bank, which it claims is an alternative to the World Bank— remain subject to the influence of the international economic order and U.S. hegemony within it.</p>
<p>For example, Russian officials have complained that the New Development Bank has suspended lending in Russia as a result of sanctions imposed on the Kremlin after the full-scale invasion in February 2022, but no workaround or even an attempt to find one was announced at the summit. I don&#8217;t think Russia can win the economic war, but the West can lose it.</p>
<p>So much more than focusing on the summit, the things that I advocate for understanding is, even if each member state of the European Union gets its defense spending up to 2% of GDP next year, the ultimate impact on NATO&#8217;s military capability is going to be because of how much bigger the U.S. defense spending is than all these countries put together.</p>
<p>I think we should really focus on having a better understanding of what is the bargain in the heart of the Western alliance, and essentially that is the military and U.S. defense spending helps provide a security shield for NATO and in return, the European Union, which is the only bloc that has an alternative currency that has been successful and developed over the last 30 years. It could serve as a very important market for a BRICS alliance or any other currency order, or China to essentially have a deficit market to invest in.</p>
<p>So, we need a better understanding of this fundamental exchange, and broadly speaking, that is, where the U.S. provides the security guarantees, provides the bulk of the defense, spends the default of the bulk of the defense posture, and in exchange Europe remains within the U.S. sphere of influence on the economic order— and a supporter, not a challenger of the dollar order.  That is what should be understood as the fundamental exchange there.</p>

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	<div class="wpb_text_column wpb_content_element  c-read" >
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			<p>Read: <a href="https://politicstoday.org/can-brics-challenge-the-global-political-system/">Can BRICS Challenge the Global Political System?</a></p>

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	</div>
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			<p><strong>Q. In this equation, where does gold come in</strong>?</p>
<p>Gold has been talked about as a potential strength for the Russians, because of how much gold they produce, and of course because of the historical role of gold-backed currencies. The idea that a gold-backed currency would not only be more stable, but it would be something that every other country would demand.</p>
<p>But we&#8217;ve lived in a world where most countries have had a gold-backed currency for over almost a hundred years, and one where there has really been no convertibility between the gold standard and international currencies for over 50 years since the end of the Bretton Woods structure in the early &#8217;70s.  I certainly argue that gold is not an effective tool for backing an international currency in today&#8217;s world of free capital flows, because everyone would essentially just try to take the gold and not use the currencies.</p>
<p>In the case of Russia, it would be particularly predatory. There was a lot of talk about this in the beginning. By, I think, misinformed observers who saw the Russian actions and talked about a possible gold standard. What they did was, and still is, a botch-up. But what the Kremlin offered was a fixed price in rubles for gold, which a gold standard would involve a fixed amount of gold for a number of rubles, and the other way around. That didn&#8217;t happen.</p>
<p>Of course, there are those in the Kremlin who think that this is still an alternative central bank. However, so much of the additional gold that Russia got at this time, including by expanding its influence in Africa, and where the Wagner Group&#8217;s involvement in a number of gold mines, Sudan in particular, and Central African countries has gotten a lot of attention. From what we can tell, that gold was almost certainly stolen by Prigozhin and other kleptocrats rather than actually added to the Russian states gold reserves.</p>

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</style><div class="blog-shortcode blog-masonry-shortcode-id-24cfb186229f9124c898823a3d23323c mode-grid classic-layout-list jquery-filter dt-css-grid-wrap dt-icon-bg-off resize-by-browser-width loading-effect-none description-under-image " data-padding="15px" data-cur-page="1" data-post-limit="-1" data-pagination-mode="none" data-desktop-columns-num="4" data-v-tablet-columns-num="2" data-h-tablet-columns-num="4" data-phone-columns-num="1" data-width="0px" data-columns="0"><div class="dt-css-grid" ><div class="visible wf-cell" data-post-id="30636" data-date="2026-09-04T11:04:33+03:00" data-name="India’s Gen Alpha Takes to the Streets, Demanding Better Schools"><article class="post project-odd visible post-30636 type-post status-publish format-standard has-post-thumbnail hentry category-news category-politics category-education category-world tag-india-protest tag-india pt_topic-human-rights pt_topic-sectarianism category-1 category-16 category-20 category-24 description-off" data-name="India’s Gen Alpha Takes to the Streets, Demanding Better Schools" data-date="2026-09-04T11:04:33+03:00">

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		<a href="https://politicstoday.org/indias-gen-alpha-takes-to-the-streets-demanding-better-schools/" title="India’s Gen Alpha Takes to the Streets, Demanding Better Schools" rel="bookmark">India’s Gen Alpha Takes to the Streets, Demanding Better Schools</a>
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	<div class="entry-meta"><span class="category-link"><a href="https://politicstoday.org/category/world/">World</a></span><a class="author vcard" href="https://politicstoday.org/author/politics-today/" title="View all posts by Politics Today" rel="author">By <span class="fn">Politics Today</span></a></div>
	
	
</div></article></div><div class="visible wf-cell" data-post-id="30632" data-date="2026-09-04T10:35:56+03:00" data-name="Pacific Summit Backs Concerns Over China Missile Test Despite Nauru Dissent"><article class="post project-odd visible post-30632 type-post status-publish format-standard has-post-thumbnail hentry category-news category-politics category-economy category-world category-security tag-china pt_topic-trade-wars pt_topic-sectarianism pt_topic-global-economy category-1 category-16 category-17 category-24 category-34 description-off" data-name="Pacific Summit Backs Concerns Over China Missile Test Despite Nauru Dissent" data-date="2026-09-04T10:35:56+03:00">

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		<a href="https://politicstoday.org/pacific-summit-backs-concerns-over-china-missile-test-despite-nauru-dissent/" title="Pacific Summit Backs Concerns Over China Missile Test Despite Nauru Dissent" rel="bookmark">Pacific Summit Backs Concerns Over China Missile Test Despite Nauru Dissent</a>
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	<div class="entry-meta"><span class="category-link"><a href="https://politicstoday.org/category/world/">World</a></span><a class="author vcard" href="https://politicstoday.org/author/politics-today/" title="View all posts by Politics Today" rel="author">By <span class="fn">Politics Today</span></a></div>
	
	
</div></article></div><div class="visible wf-cell" data-post-id="30630" data-date="2026-09-03T10:00:23+03:00" data-name="Asia Moves to Strengthen Oil and Gas Reserves After Strait of Hormuz Crisis"><article class="post project-odd visible post-30630 type-post status-publish format-standard has-post-thumbnail hentry category-news category-middle-east category-energy tag-united-states tag-iran tag-russia tag-china pt_topic-global-economy category-1 category-23 category-37 description-off" data-name="Asia Moves to Strengthen Oil and Gas Reserves After Strait of Hormuz Crisis" data-date="2026-09-03T10:00:23+03:00">

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		<a href="https://politicstoday.org/asia-moves-to-strengthen-oil-and-gas-reserves-after-strait-of-hormuz-crisis/" title="Asia Moves to Strengthen Oil and Gas Reserves After Strait of Hormuz Crisis" rel="bookmark">Asia Moves to Strengthen Oil and Gas Reserves After Strait of Hormuz Crisis</a>
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	<div class="entry-meta"><span class="category-link"><a href="https://politicstoday.org/category/energy/">Energy</a></span><a class="author vcard" href="https://politicstoday.org/author/politics-today/" title="View all posts by Politics Today" rel="author">By <span class="fn">Politics Today</span></a></div>
	
	
</div></article></div><div class="visible wf-cell" data-post-id="30627" data-date="2026-09-03T09:59:10+03:00" data-name="US Strike on Wedding in Southern Iran Kills Four, Wounds More Than 60"><article class="post project-odd visible post-30627 type-post status-publish format-standard has-post-thumbnail hentry category-news category-middle-east category-world tag-iran tag-united-states pt_topic-sectarianism pt_topic-terrorism category-1 category-23 category-24 description-off" data-name="US Strike on Wedding in Southern Iran Kills Four, Wounds More Than 60" data-date="2026-09-03T09:59:10+03:00">

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		<a href="https://politicstoday.org/us-strike-on-wedding-in-southern-iran-kills-four-wounds-more-than-60/" title="US Strike on Wedding in Southern Iran Kills Four, Wounds More Than 60" rel="bookmark">US Strike on Wedding in Southern Iran Kills Four, Wounds More Than 60</a>
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	<div class="entry-meta"><span class="category-link"><a href="https://politicstoday.org/category/middle-east/">Middle East</a></span><a class="author vcard" href="https://politicstoday.org/author/politics-today/" title="View all posts by Politics Today" rel="author">By <span class="fn">Politics Today</span></a></div>
	
	
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			<p><strong>Q. What is the potential of Russia&#8217;s Africa policy after Wagner&#8217;s mutiny, followed by Prigozhin’s death?</strong></p>
<p>What is interesting about a lot of activities in Africa, such as gold mining operations, is that they are self-sustaining. They probably actually earn a profit. Just as the gold doesn&#8217;t go to the Kremlin&#8217;s coffers, I think, the profits from those operations are probably pilfered by Prigozhin and others around him.</p>
<p>There are many other Russian “private military companies” that have the state’s backing which have played roles in not only Ukraine, but also Syria and elsewhere in Africa. Amongst the more prominent ones are Patriot and Shchit, which is shield in Russian.</p>
<p>What I expect will happen is that some of the individuals from these other networks will be given more of the responsibility and put in charge but the fundamental structure of the operation will remain the same. It is very easy for the Kremlin to put new people in charge or to rebrand it slightly.</p>
<p>Prigozhin’s death will accelerate this effort and could lead to some infighting within the security services over the spoils of Wagner’s activity in Africa, which would risk weakening it as a tool of influence but I expect Putin will take a more active role in determining which Russian partners are favored there to attempt to mitigate this.</p>

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			<p>Read: <a href="https://politicstoday.org/yevgeny-prigozhin-death-russia-wagner-in-africa/">Yevgeny Prigozhin&#8217;s Death and Wagner&#8217;s Future in Africa</a></p>

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			<p><strong>Q. Do you think China’s interests are aligned with the Russia?</strong></p>
<p>I certainly don&#8217;t claim to China expert but I believe for now, China is trying to replace the U.S. as the core node of the international economic order and to challenge it, and to have a long-term strategy to do so. Whereas, I believe that Russia wants to destroy the international economic order and as a result of that, China and Russia&#8217;s interests are not as aligned as they claim them to be.</p>
<p>We see that Putin wants three things from China: He wants direct military support, new loans, and a deal on the Power of Siberia 2 gas pipeline project- Which  has had no progress for over 18 months since the beginning of the war, and which Russia needs to develop an alternate gas market. Putin has not gotten any of these things yet. I worry that sometimes the West approach to China risks pushing it closer to Russia and making it more likely that China will overtly support Putin but we have not seen that yet.</p>
<p><strong>Q. How does the U.S. balance its relations with China given its competition against the backdrop of the Russia Ukraine war? </strong></p>
<p>It&#8217;s a very difficult, delicate, balancing act. But I think right now too much of the focus is on record levels of economic and military support for Ukraine. I still think that the potential for China to more actively support Russia on these matters is under-appreciated when talking about China policy itself.</p>
<p><strong>Q. What is the Kremlin’s long term strategy? </strong></p>
<p>I think the Kremlin&#8217;s long term strategy is to show that it is willing to fight this war without stopping and even if it becomes a front line spreeze, the Kremlin will not stop launching missiles across Ukraine until Putin has something that he hopes can save more face.</p>
<p>For him, that is at minimum the full occupation, if not only Donetsk, Luhansk but Zaporizhzhia and Kherson Oblasts— which Putin claims now are part of the Russian Constitution and and Russian territory even though he only ever held sham referendums there and has never controlled all of their territory.</p>
<p>Putin’s strategy is to try to show that he can continue to fight this war for longer than the West can. That is why we worry so much about a renewed use of Russia&#8217;s economic weapons this coming winter.</p>

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			<p>Read: <a href="https://politicstoday.org/russia-ukraine-war-power-politics/">The Supremacy of Power Politics Continues Amid Russia-Ukraine War</a></p>

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			<p><strong>Q. Would Russia be able to build an alternative economic order if it won the war in Ukraine?</strong></p>
<p>Winning this war would so damage U.S.-European long term cooperation that the Kremlin would seek further divisions within Europe and seek more gains from potential allies and new parties coming to power in Europe in the aftermath. Some of the technical issues about an alternative currency order is needing a deficit market in which states, like Russia and other surplus countries, can export their savings.</p>
<p>So, if Russia had China&#8217;s full support, and Europe and the U.S.&#8217;s relationship was heavily damaged, then the prospects of Russia being able to leave that order matter a lot more. Also, to reiterate, Russia&#8217;s strategy is not about building alternate economic order, it&#8217;s primarily about destroying the current one because of how much more power the U.S. has in the current order than any other country.</p>
<p><strong>Q. Finally, what are the ramifications of Russia&#8217;s default?</strong></p>
<p>Russia&#8217;s default has not affected its ability to continue the war, nor its ability to continue funding the war because their surplus is from hydrocarbon exports. But it will be sword of Damocles hanging over the Russian State for any resolution to this conflict, whether that be with Putin in the helm or future without Putin. Russia has tried to buy back some of the debts and swap them out in its local market and has succeeded handing over ruble contracts to Russian investors, but these are debts that are taken out under English law.</p>
<p>English court has final provision, and Russia owes its bond holders according to the terms written under English law, and it could be decades that the default keeps Russia out of Western capital markets and out of the international economic order as a sovereign borrower until it&#8217;s default is resolved.</p>
<p>There&#8217;s precedent for this in the Soviet Union&#8217;s default on the Tsarist Imperial debts in 1918, which wasn&#8217;t resolved until 1999, eight years after the Soviet collapse. I think that the default from Putin will not be resolved until he is no longer top the Russian State.</p>

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</div><p>The post <a href="https://politicstoday.org/economic-war-booktalk-maximillian-hess/">“Russia Can’t Win the Economic War, but the West Can Lose It.” BookTalk with Maximilian Hess</a> appeared first on <a href="https://politicstoday.org">Politics Today</a>.</p>
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		<title>Challenges and Solutions to Global Food Security in Five Books</title>
		<link>https://politicstoday.org/challenges-solutions-global-food-security-books-2/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Politics Today]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 07 Sep 2023 08:37:55 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Book Bundle]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[World]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Development]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[trade]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sustainability]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[UN]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Minimum Wage]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Global Competition]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[NGO]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[U.N.]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Developing Countries]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Food Security]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Global Demand]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Geopolitics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Soft Power]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Security]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Climate Change]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trade War]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stability]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Agriculture]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Black Sea]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Russia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Diplomacy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[UNFAO]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Governance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ukraine]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Global Markets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[World Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Global Trade]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://politicstoday.org/challenges-solutions-global-food-security-books-2/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<div><img width="300" height="200" src="https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/foodsecuritybundlee-300x200.jpg" class="attachment-medium size-medium wp-post-image" alt="" style="margin-bottom: 15px;" decoding="async" loading="lazy" srcset="https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/foodsecuritybundlee-300x200.jpg 300w, https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/foodsecuritybundlee-768x512.jpg 768w, https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/foodsecuritybundlee.jpg 800w" sizes="(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px" /></div>
<p>From the intricacies of international trade policies to the sustainability of food systems, the impacts of geopolitical conflicts to the strategic place of food, these books provide a comprehensive understanding of the challenges and opportunities in the realm of global food security.</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://politicstoday.org/challenges-solutions-global-food-security-books-2/">Challenges and Solutions to Global Food Security in Five Books</a> appeared first on <a href="https://politicstoday.org">Politics Today</a>.</p>
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			<p><span class="r-es-drop-cap">I</span></p>
<p>n an era marked by unprecedented global challenges, few issues resonate as profoundly as the quest for food security. The Russian invasion of Ukraine and the grain shortage that followed showcased the grave vulnerability of existing systems. The imperative of ensuring that everyone, everywhere has access to safe, sufficient, and nutritious food looms large on the global stage. This month’s book bundle presents a curated selection of books that delve into food security, examining it from multiple angles, and offering insights, strategies, and solutions.</p>
<p>From the intricacies of international trade policies to the sustainability of food systems, and from the impacts of geopolitical conflicts to the strategic place of food, these books provide a comprehensive understanding of the challenges and opportunities in the realm of global food security.</p>
<p>Whether you are a policymaker, researcher, student, or simply a concerned global citizen, this collection provides valuable resources for understanding, navigating, and contributing to the discourse on global food security.</p>

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			<p>Read: <a href="https://politicstoday.org/as-global-food-crisis-looms-governments-may-be-caught-unprepared/">As Global Food Crisis Looms, Governments May Be Caught Unprepared</a></p>

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</style><div class="shortcode-single-image-wrap shortcode-single-image-4cc7c8bbda0a6d3a75690b6202a51ec8 alignleft caption-on  enable-bg-rollover dt-icon-bg-off" style="margin-top:0px; margin-bottom:0px; margin-left:0px; margin-right:0px; width:380px;"><div class="shortcode-single-image pull-left"><div class="fancy-media-wrap" style=""><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="preload-me aspect" src="https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/08/61isptuhwel-sx598-bo1204203200-380x583.jpg" srcset="https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/08/61isptuhwel-sx598-bo1204203200-380x583.jpg 380w, https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/08/61isptuhwel-sx598-bo1204203200.jpg 521w" sizes="(max-width: 380px) 100vw, 380px" width="380" height="583"  data-dt-location="https://politicstoday.org/?attachment_id=19687" style="--ratio: 380 / 583;" alt="" /></div></div><div class="shortcode-single-caption"><span class="shortcode-single-caption__text shortcode-single-caption__text--excerpt">Food Security: Availibility, Income, and Productivity</span> <span class="shortcode-single-caption__text shortcode-single-caption__text--content">Book cover</span></div></div>
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			<p><em>Food Security: Availability, Income and Productivity</em> is a pertinent book that explores the pressing issue of global food security as our world population continues to grow. The author focuses on three key conditions necessary to achieve food security: food availability, adequate incomes, and increased agricultural productivity.</p>
<p>The book draws insights from history and contemporary contexts to thoroughly examine these conditions. It takes a close look at the obstacles preventing consistent food availability and discusses how to overcome these challenges. It also delves into the importance of ensuring sufficient incomes, highlighting programs like food stamps and food banks. Furthermore, the book provides valuable insights into the factors driving enhanced agricultural productivity.</p>
<p><em>Food Security</em> caters to a broad audience, including agricultural experts, policymakers, and NGOs working in food aid. It&#8217;s also a valuable resource for students studying agriculture and public policy. The book not only informs but also encourages critical thinking about the complex task of feeding a projected nine billion people by 2050.</p>
<p>In a world where food scarcity is becoming increasingly worrisome, this book offers essential insights into the intricate web of food security. It provides a well-reasoned analysis that will contribute to ongoing discussions and efforts aimed at ensuring a sustainable food future for everyone.</p>
<p><strong>William A. Kerr, Food Security: Availability, Income and Productivity (Edward Elgar Publishing, 2023) ISBN: 978 1 03531 270 2, 234 pages</strong></p>

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			<p>Read: <a href="https://politicstoday.org/a-new-cold-war-erupts-in-the-shadow-of-food-crises/">A New Cold War Erupts in the Shadow of Food Crises</a></p>

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.shortcode-single-image-wrap.shortcode-single-image-90a853e90628ee78a2541fa72f949ef9.enable-bg-rollover .rollover-video i {
  background: -webkit-linear-gradient();
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</style><div class="shortcode-single-image-wrap shortcode-single-image-90a853e90628ee78a2541fa72f949ef9 alignleft caption-on  enable-bg-rollover dt-icon-bg-off" style="margin-top:0px; margin-bottom:0px; margin-left:0px; margin-right:0px; width:380px;"><div class="shortcode-single-image pull-left"><div class="fancy-media-wrap" style=""><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="preload-me aspect" src="https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/08/pid-35559-380x573.jpg" srcset="https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/08/pid-35559-380x573.jpg 380w, https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/08/pid-35559.jpg 530w" sizes="(max-width: 380px) 100vw, 380px" width="380" height="573"  data-dt-location="https://politicstoday.org/?attachment_id=19688" style="--ratio: 380 / 573;" alt="" /></div></div><div class="shortcode-single-caption"><span class="shortcode-single-caption__text shortcode-single-caption__text--excerpt">Shadow Negotiators: How UN Organizations Shape the Rules of World Trade for Food Security</span> <span class="shortcode-single-caption__text shortcode-single-caption__text--content">Book cover</span></div></div>
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			<p><em>Shadow Negotiators:</em> <em>How UN Organizations Shape the Rules of World Trade for Food Security</em> by Matias E. Margulis is a groundbreaking exploration of the influence exerted by United Nations (UN) organizations within the World Trade Organization (WTO) despite their absence from the formal negotiation table. Margulis introduces the concept of &#8220;shadow negotiators,&#8221; illustrating how UN bodies strategically engage in political actions to shape multilateral trade negotiations.</p>
<p>The book&#8217;s primary focus is on the contentious issue of agricultural trade liberalization. It provides a detailed analysis of interventions by four UN organizations: the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO), the World Food Programme (WFP), the Office of the High Commissioner for Human Rights (OHCHR), and the Special Rapporteur on the Right to Food (SRRTF).</p>
<p>Margulis unveils the innovative strategies these UN entities employ to influence global trade regulations. Importantly, he emphasizes that their motivation isn&#8217;t rooted in competition with the WTO or ideological opposition to trade liberalization. Instead, it stems from their concern that certain trade rules could negatively impact global food security, running counter to their core mission of addressing world hunger and safeguarding the right to food.</p>
<p><em>Shadow Negotiators</em> is a meticulously researched work that offers fresh insights into the often-unseen dynamics of international trade. It&#8217;s essential reading for those interested in the intersection of trade policy and global welfare, making a valuable contribution to the field of international relations and trade studies.</p>
<p><strong>Matias E. Margulis, Shadow Negotiators: How UN Organizations Shape the Rules of World Trade for Food Security (Stanford University Press, 2023) ISBN: 9781503633520, 292 pages</strong></p>

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			<p>Read: <a href="https://politicstoday.org/food-inflation-global-crisis-and-turkey/">Food Inflation, Global Crisis, and Turkey</a></p>

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    <div class="c-space  c-space--46 c-space--custom"></div>
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</style><div class="shortcode-single-image-wrap shortcode-single-image-d7e6d0416cf2b1d57c521ff04c27baa4 alignleft caption-on  enable-bg-rollover dt-icon-bg-off" style="margin-top:0px; margin-bottom:0px; margin-left:0px; margin-right:0px; width:380px;"><div class="shortcode-single-image pull-left"><div class="fancy-media-wrap" style=""><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="preload-me aspect" src="https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/08/41mswixxuvl-ac-uf10001000-ql80-380x573.jpg" srcset="https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/08/41mswixxuvl-ac-uf10001000-ql80-380x573.jpg 380w, https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/08/41mswixxuvl-ac-uf10001000-ql80.jpg 530w" sizes="(max-width: 380px) 100vw, 380px" width="380" height="573"  data-dt-location="https://politicstoday.org/?attachment_id=19689" style="--ratio: 380 / 573;" alt="" /></div></div><div class="shortcode-single-caption"><span class="shortcode-single-caption__text shortcode-single-caption__text--excerpt">Universal Food Security: How to End Hunger While Protecting the Planet</span> <span class="shortcode-single-caption__text shortcode-single-caption__text--content">Book cover</span></div></div>
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			<p><em>Universal Food Security: How to End Hunger While Protecting the Planet</em> by Glenn Denning explores the path towards a world where hunger and malnutrition are eradicated, and everyone can access healthy and abundant food for a productive life. The book emphasizes the need to transform our food systems, focusing on sustainability and environmental restoration, from production to distribution.</p>
<p>Denning, drawing from his extensive experience in over fifty countries, offers a practical guide to making healthy diets accessible to all while ensuring sustainability. He identifies key priorities, including sustainable agriculture intensification, robust market infrastructure, responsible postharvest practices, promoting healthy eating, and establishing social safety nets. The book underscores the pivotal role of practitioner-leaders in driving this transformation, highlighting the importance of education and development in instigating change.</p>
<p>But beyond the roadmap, Denning reminds us that the engine driving this transformation is practitioner-leadership, underscored by education and development. This book stands as a testament to the potential for meaningful change when individuals and institutions commit to reshaping our world, making universal food security not merely a dream but a tangible and sustainable reality.</p>
<p><strong>Glenn Denning, Universal Food Security: How to End Hunger While Protecting the Planet (Columbia University Press, 2023) ISBN: 9780231197618, 448 pages</strong></p>

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			<p>Read: <a href="https://politicstoday.org/why-we-should-immediately-switch-from-conventional-to-sustainable-agriculture/">Why We Should Immediately Switch from Conventional to Sustainable Agriculture</a></p>

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    <div class="c-space  c-space--48 c-space--custom"></div>
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</style><div class="shortcode-single-image-wrap shortcode-single-image-c80479f2dc8463448109d8ad2c35b94e alignleft caption-on  enable-bg-rollover dt-icon-bg-off" style="margin-top:0px; margin-bottom:0px; margin-left:0px; margin-right:0px; width:380px;"><div class="shortcode-single-image pull-left"><div class="fancy-media-wrap" style=""><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="preload-me aspect" src="https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/08/boook.jpg" srcset="https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/08/boook.jpg 240w" sizes="(max-width: 240px) 100vw, 240px" width="240" height="398"  data-dt-location="https://politicstoday.org/?attachment_id=19690" style="--ratio: 240 / 398;" alt="" /></div></div><div class="shortcode-single-caption"><span class="shortcode-single-caption__text shortcode-single-caption__text--excerpt">The Russia-Ukraine Conflict and Global Food Security</span> <span class="shortcode-single-caption__text shortcode-single-caption__text--content">Book cover</span></div></div>
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			<p><em>The Russia-Ukraine Conflict and Global Food</em> <em>Security</em> explores the global food security implications of Russia&#8217;s invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, which occurred during a period of already high food prices due to the COVID-19 pandemic. The book highlights the importance of the Black Sea region for global food production and Russia&#8217;s role in supplying natural gas and fertilizers.</p>
<p>The potential disruption of trade in this region posed a significant threat, with the potential to raise food prices and worsen poverty and hunger in vulnerable countries. The conflict primarily impacted trade in cereals and vegetable oils, fertilizer exports, and energy costs, potentially pushing millions into hunger and poverty.</p>
<p>The International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI) responded swiftly by providing information and policy advice. They established a blog series and online resources to disseminate critical information rapidly. This book compiles these blog posts, offering an overview of the crisis&#8217;s progression, international responses, and lessons for ensuring food security in the wake of disruptions.</p>
<p>This book provides essential insights into a rapidly evolving crisis with far-reaching implications for global food security, making it valuable for policymakers and researchers.</p>
<p><strong>Joseph W. Glauber, Ed. and David Laborde Debucquet. Ed., <em>The Russia-Ukraine Conflict and Global Food Security</em> (IFPRI, 2023) ISBN: 9780896294394, 196 pages</strong></p>

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			<p>Read: <a href="https://politicstoday.org/food-security-russia-ukraine-war-caitlin-welsh-interview/">&#8220;The Damage Will Take Time to Repair&#8221;: An Interview with Caitlin Welsh on the Impact of the Russia-Ukraine War on Food Security</a></p>

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</style><div class="shortcode-single-image-wrap shortcode-single-image-fdc6d56734eaaf9127b442c0cef5adda alignleft caption-on  enable-bg-rollover dt-icon-bg-off" style="margin-top:0px; margin-bottom:0px; margin-left:0px; margin-right:0px; width:380px;"><div class="shortcode-single-image pull-left"><div class="fancy-media-wrap" style=""><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="preload-me aspect" src="https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/08/bread-and-autocracy-380x573.jpg" srcset="https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/08/bread-and-autocracy-380x573.jpg 380w, https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/08/bread-and-autocracy.jpg 530w" sizes="(max-width: 380px) 100vw, 380px" width="380" height="573"  data-dt-location="https://politicstoday.org/?attachment_id=19691" style="--ratio: 380 / 573;" alt="" /></div></div><div class="shortcode-single-caption"><span class="shortcode-single-caption__text shortcode-single-caption__text--excerpt">Bread and Autocracy: Food, Politics, and Security in Putin's Russia</span> <span class="shortcode-single-caption__text shortcode-single-caption__text--content">Book cover</span></div></div>
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			<p><em>Bread and Autocracy: Food, Politics, and Security in Putin’s</em> Russia offers a compelling analysis of the pivotal role food has played in Russian politics from the 1917 Revolution to the present under Putin&#8217;s leadership. The authors, Janetta Azarieva, Yitzhak M. Brudny, and Eugene Finkel, argue that Russia&#8217;s transition from a grain importer to a global food exporter was a deliberate, long-term strategy aimed at enhancing national security and regime stability. This focus on food self-sufficiency sets Russia apart from other autocracies, as it prioritizes domestic food production over imports, highlighting its significance in maintaining autocratic rule.</p>
<p>The book&#8217;s relevance is heightened in today&#8217;s world, where food issues are once again at the forefront of global concerns and nations are emphasizing self-reliance. Bread and Autocracy provides a timely and comprehensive exploration of Russia&#8217;s unique approach to food politics, shedding light on its implications for both domestic and international affairs. It is a valuable read for those seeking a deeper understanding of Russia&#8217;s distinctive stance on food and its impact on political power. The book will be available in hardcover on September 1, 2023.</p>
<p><strong>Janetta Azarieva, Yitzhak M. Brudny, and Eugene Finkel<em>, Bread and Autocracy: Food, Politics, and Security in Putin&#8217;s Russia</em> (Oxford University Press, 2023) ISBN: 9780197684368, 525 pages</strong></p>

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</div></article></div></div><!-- iso-container|iso-grid --></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div>
</div><p>The post <a href="https://politicstoday.org/challenges-solutions-global-food-security-books-2/">Challenges and Solutions to Global Food Security in Five Books</a> appeared first on <a href="https://politicstoday.org">Politics Today</a>.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
					
		
		
			</item>
		<item>
		<title>Donald Trump&#8217;s Digital Diplomacy and Its Impact on US Foreign Policy Toward the Middle East</title>
		<link>https://politicstoday.org/donald-trump-digital-diplomacy-us-foreign-policy-middle-east/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Politics Today]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 24 Aug 2023 06:58:27 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Books In-Brief]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Middle East]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[United States]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trump Administratation]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Arab World]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Donald Trump]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://politicstoday.org/donald-trump-digital-diplomacy-us-foreign-policy-middle-east/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<div><img width="187" height="300" src="https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/dtdigitaldiplomacy-187x300.jpg" class="attachment-medium size-medium wp-post-image" alt="" style="margin-bottom: 15px;" decoding="async" loading="lazy" srcset="https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/dtdigitaldiplomacy-187x300.jpg 187w, https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/dtdigitaldiplomacy.jpg 392w" sizes="(max-width: 187px) 100vw, 187px" /></div>
<p>This is a thought-provoking analysis of the complexities and consequences of Donald Trump’s foreign policy decisions in the digital age.</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://politicstoday.org/donald-trump-digital-diplomacy-us-foreign-policy-middle-east/">Donald Trump&#8217;s Digital Diplomacy and Its Impact on US Foreign Policy Toward the Middle East</a> appeared first on <a href="https://politicstoday.org">Politics Today</a>.</p>
]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div><img width="187" height="300" src="https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/dtdigitaldiplomacy-187x300.jpg" class="attachment-medium size-medium wp-post-image" alt="" style="margin-bottom: 15px;" decoding="async" loading="lazy" srcset="https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/dtdigitaldiplomacy-187x300.jpg 187w, https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/dtdigitaldiplomacy.jpg 392w" sizes="(max-width: 187px) 100vw, 187px" /></div><div class="wpb-content-wrapper"><div class="vc_row wpb_row vc_row-fluid"><div class="wpb_column vc_column_container vc_col-sm-8 vc_col-sm-offset-2"><div class="vc_column-inner"><div class="wpb_wrapper">    <div class="c-space  c-space--52 c-space--custom"></div>
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			<p><span class="r-es-drop-cap">L</span></p>
<p>ove him or loathe him, there&#8217;s no denying that Donald Trump brought a whole new level of spectacle to the world of international relations through his unique approach. In the age of social media, Trump wielded his Twitter account like a magician&#8217;s wand, conjuring up tweets that sent shockwaves through the global stage. From the moment he stepped into the political arena, he turned traditional diplomacy on its head, replacing dignified speeches with 280-character proclamations.</p>
<p>It was a rollercoaster ride of mixed messaging, unexpected U-turns, and moments that left even the most seasoned diplomats scratching their heads. One moment he&#8217;d be locking horns with world leaders, engaging in diplomatic smackdowns with the best of them. The next, he&#8217;d be cozying up to erstwhile adversaries like long-lost buddies.</p>

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			<p>Read: <a href="https://politicstoday.org/from-the-nixon-reagan-tapes-to-trumps-tweets-racism-has-a-tradition-in-the-us-politics/">From the Nixon-Reagan Tapes to Trump’s Tweets: Racism Has a Tradition in US Politics</a></p>

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			<p>In his book, <em>Donald Trump&#8217;s Digital Diplomacy and Its Impact on US Foreign Policy Towards the Middle East</em>, Ahmed Y. Zohny skillfully delves into the intricate relationship between history, political science, and the digital age. With a meticulous blend of content analysis and critical discourse analysis, Zohny examines the profound implications of Trump&#8217;s statements and tweets, that explain the often puzzling nature of his foreign policy decisions. At the same time, Zohny&#8217;s analysis unveils the intricacies of this unique form of diplomacy, shedding light on its influence on global politics.</p>
<p>While the American public remained primarily engrossed in the domestic implications of Trump&#8217;s presidency, people around the world were deeply curious about how his foreign policy choices would reshape the geopolitical landscape. What emerged from Zohny&#8217;s research was a deeper understanding of Trump&#8217;s communication style, marked by mixed messaging and impulsive decision-making.</p>
<p>One of the most significant areas of focus in the book is the United States&#8217; withdrawal from the Iran Accord. Zohny compellingly argues that this decision not only guaranteed the collapse of the agreement but also added to the volatility in the already turbulent Middle East. Through detailed analysis, he highlights how this move significantly impacted regional dynamics and strained diplomatic relations.</p>

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			<p>Read: <a href="https://politicstoday.org/will-the-biden-administration-continue-trumps-abraham-accords-legacy/">Will the Biden Administration Continue Trump’s Abraham Accords Legacy?</a></p>

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			<p>Another crucial event explored by Zohny is Trump&#8217;s recognition of Jerusalem as the capital of Israel. This unilateral action, in defiance of international law and numerous UN decisions, ignited an international crisis. The author cogently argues that the status of Jerusalem should have been decided through negotiations rather than abrupt decisions made by the United States or Israel. Such actions have far-reaching consequences that reverberate throughout the region and beyond.</p>
<p>In contrast, Zohny acknowledges a noteworthy achievement for the U.S. in Trump&#8217;s foreign policy, which is the Abraham Peace Accord. By securing four normalization agreements between Israel and the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Sudan, and Morocco, this diplomatic breakthrough brought a significant shift in Middle East geopolitics. It stands as a success for Trump&#8217;s approach to foreign relations and regional cooperation.</p>
<p><em>Donald Trump&#8217;s Digital Diplomacy and Its Impact on US Foreign Policy Towards the Middle East</em> provides a thought-provoking analysis of the complexities and consequences of Trump&#8217;s foreign policy decisions in the digital age. Zohny&#8217;s skillful navigation of history, political science, and digital discourse analysis sheds new light on the nature of Trump&#8217;s approach to diplomacy, ultimately enriching our understanding of the United States&#8217; role in the Middle East and its implications on the global stage. This book is a must-read for anyone seeking a comprehensive and nuanced exploration of contemporary diplomatic challenges and opportunities.</p>
<p><strong>Ahmed Y. Zohny, <em>Donald Trump&#8217;s Digital Diplomacy and Its Impact on US Foreign Policy Towards the Middle East</em> (Lexington Books, 2023) ISBN: 978-1-7936-0199-5, 338 pages</strong></p>
<p><em>Written by Dilara Özer</em></p>

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		<a href="https://politicstoday.org/us-strike-on-wedding-in-southern-iran-kills-four-wounds-more-than-60/" class="post-thumbnail-rollover" ><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="preload-me aspect" src="https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/09/airstrike-in-iran-1-760x534.jpg" srcset="https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/09/airstrike-in-iran-1-760x534.jpg 760w" style="--ratio: 760 / 534" sizes="(max-width: 760px) 100vw, 760px" alt="" title="Airstrike in Iran" width="760" height="534"  /></a>	</div>
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</div></article></div></div><!-- iso-container|iso-grid --></div></div></div></div></div>    <div class="c-space  c-space--58 c-space--custom"></div>
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</div><p>The post <a href="https://politicstoday.org/donald-trump-digital-diplomacy-us-foreign-policy-middle-east/">Donald Trump&#8217;s Digital Diplomacy and Its Impact on US Foreign Policy Toward the Middle East</a> appeared first on <a href="https://politicstoday.org">Politics Today</a>.</p>
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		<title>Stalemate: Autonomy and Insurgency on the China-Myanmar Border</title>
		<link>https://politicstoday.org/stalemate-autonomy-insurgency-china-myanmar-border/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Politics Today]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 22 Aug 2023 07:50:58 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Books In-Brief]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[China]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Governance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Thailand]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Authority]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Myanmar]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Civil War]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[military]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[trade]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Geopolitics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Resistance]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://politicstoday.org/stalemate-autonomy-insurgency-china-myanmar-border/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<div><img width="200" height="300" src="https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/stalematecover-200x300.jpg" class="attachment-medium size-medium wp-post-image" alt="" style="margin-bottom: 15px;" decoding="async" loading="lazy" srcset="https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/stalematecover-200x300.jpg 200w, https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/stalematecover.jpg 534w" sizes="(max-width: 200px) 100vw, 200px" /></div>
<p>Often brushed aside as mere rebels or linked to drug trade, the United Wa State Army defies conventional expectations.</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://politicstoday.org/stalemate-autonomy-insurgency-china-myanmar-border/">Stalemate: Autonomy and Insurgency on the China-Myanmar Border</a> appeared first on <a href="https://politicstoday.org">Politics Today</a>.</p>
]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div><img width="200" height="300" src="https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/stalematecover-200x300.jpg" class="attachment-medium size-medium wp-post-image" alt="" style="margin-bottom: 15px;" decoding="async" loading="lazy" srcset="https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/stalematecover-200x300.jpg 200w, https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/stalematecover.jpg 534w" sizes="(max-width: 200px) 100vw, 200px" /></div><div class="wpb-content-wrapper"><div class="vc_row wpb_row vc_row-fluid"><div class="wpb_column vc_column_container vc_col-sm-8 vc_col-sm-offset-2"><div class="vc_column-inner"><div class="wpb_wrapper">    <div class="c-space  c-space--59 c-space--custom"></div>
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			<p><span class="r-es-drop-cap">O</span>n the lush hills of the Myanmar-China border stands an autonomous self-governing polity in Myanmar, the Wa State. It is de facto independent from the rest of the country and has its own political system, administrative divisions and army. Stalemate delves into the captivating history and contemporary political landscape of the United Wa State Army (UWSA), an insurgent force with 20,000-30,000 active forces that stands as Asia&#8217;s most formidable.</p>
<p>This narrative of ethnographic exploration paints a vivid picture of an upland community, often brushed aside as mere rebels or linked to drug trade, yet proficiently upholding a unique autonomy that navigates between two dominant states. Rather than sidestepping the neighboring states, the Wa polity actively engages with them, a dynamic that unfolds against the backdrop of sovereignty and statehood struggles.</p>

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			<p>Read: <a href="https://politicstoday.org/insurgency-warfare-global-history/">Insurgency Warfare: A Global History to the Present</a></p>

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			<p>Through the lens of Andrew Ong&#8217;s meticulous analysis, in <em>Stalemate: Autonomy and Insurgency on the China-Myanmar Border</em> readers are led through the political culture entrenched within Wa elites and the general populace, the complex web of UWSA&#8217;s international connections, and the intricate capital flows in conjunction with China, illuminating the orchestration behind Wa autonomy. Geopolitical strategy and involvement in the shadow economy is what breathes life into the concept of Wa autonomy. In fact, the book adeptly navigates through the multifaceted borderland geopolitics and the nuances of the shadow economy, highlighting how the United Wa State Army carefully treads this intricate path.</p>
<p>Blending anthropological insights with his personal encounters as a World Food Programme employee in Wa State, Ong delivers a contemplative on-the-ground portrayal of political dynamics in Wa. His objectives, intertwined and interwoven, unfold in three tiers. Primarily, he endeavors to enable readers to perceive the world through the eyes of Wa State&#8217;s inhabitants, gaining their perspective. Subsequently, he aims to foster comprehension of the disparities between Wa governance principles and international norms. Lastly, he prompts a reconsideration of conventional interpretations of disorder and stability.</p>

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			<p>Read: <a href="https://politicstoday.org/an-axis-of-evil-why-russia-and-china-protect-myanmars-military-regime/">An Axis of Evil: Why Russia and China Protect Myanmar’s Military Regime</a></p>

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			<p>Through the perspectives of the political elite of the Wa State, Ong goes on to dissect the apparent deadlock existing between the Myanmar state and the UWSA, a standoff characterized by what he terms &#8220;tactical dissonance.&#8221; This intriguing concept encapsulates the UWSA&#8217;s dual stance of projecting authority while simultaneously exhibiting subordination, thereby creating a web of disruptions and connections. It&#8217;s through this very dichotomy that the relative stability emerges, a stability that defies conventional understanding by underscoring the role of seemingly cryptic and chaotic political signals, economic regulations, and military governance.</p>
<p><em>Stalemate</em> provides an enthralling narrative that delves into the captivating world of the United Wa State Army, unearthing the complex interplay of power dynamics, sovereignty struggles, and tactical maneuvering that defy conventional expectations. Every chapter begins with a captivating short story from Ong&#8217;s experiences in Wa State. This is followed by a brief explanation of the theory, usually consisting of a paragraph or two, which is then demonstrated through additional field notes.</p>
<p>Finally, Ong questions the concept of &#8220;ceasefire capitalism,&#8221; and views the disorderly aspects of the conflict economy, like arms and wildlife trades, as forces that strangely unite opposing sides. This book stands as an indispensable read for anyone seeking a discovery into the fascinating and unique polity known as the UWSA and the intricate web of politics, autonomy, and an orderly disorder.</p>
<p><strong>Andrew Ong, <em>Stalemate: Autonomy and Insurgency on the China-Myanmar</em> <em>Border</em> (Cornell University Press, 2023) ISBN13: 9781501770715, 276 pages</strong></p>
<p><em>Written by Dilara Özer</em></p>

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</style><div class="blog-shortcode blog-masonry-shortcode-id-24cfb186229f9124c898823a3d23323c mode-grid classic-layout-list jquery-filter dt-css-grid-wrap dt-icon-bg-off resize-by-browser-width loading-effect-none description-under-image " data-padding="15px" data-cur-page="1" data-post-limit="-1" data-pagination-mode="none" data-desktop-columns-num="4" data-v-tablet-columns-num="2" data-h-tablet-columns-num="4" data-phone-columns-num="1" data-width="0px" data-columns="0"><div class="dt-css-grid" ><div class="visible wf-cell" data-post-id="30636" data-date="2026-09-04T11:04:33+03:00" data-name="India’s Gen Alpha Takes to the Streets, Demanding Better Schools"><article class="post project-odd visible post-30636 type-post status-publish format-standard has-post-thumbnail hentry category-news category-politics category-education category-world tag-india-protest tag-india pt_topic-human-rights pt_topic-sectarianism category-1 category-16 category-20 category-24 description-off" data-name="India’s Gen Alpha Takes to the Streets, Demanding Better Schools" data-date="2026-09-04T11:04:33+03:00">

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	<h3 class="entry-title">
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	<div class="entry-meta"><span class="category-link"><a href="https://politicstoday.org/category/world/">World</a></span><a class="author vcard" href="https://politicstoday.org/author/politics-today/" title="View all posts by Politics Today" rel="author">By <span class="fn">Politics Today</span></a></div>
	
	
</div></article></div><div class="visible wf-cell" data-post-id="30632" data-date="2026-09-04T10:35:56+03:00" data-name="Pacific Summit Backs Concerns Over China Missile Test Despite Nauru Dissent"><article class="post project-odd visible post-30632 type-post status-publish format-standard has-post-thumbnail hentry category-news category-politics category-economy category-world category-security tag-china pt_topic-trade-wars pt_topic-sectarianism pt_topic-global-economy category-1 category-16 category-17 category-24 category-34 description-off" data-name="Pacific Summit Backs Concerns Over China Missile Test Despite Nauru Dissent" data-date="2026-09-04T10:35:56+03:00">

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		<a href="https://politicstoday.org/pacific-summit-backs-concerns-over-china-missile-test-despite-nauru-dissent/" class="post-thumbnail-rollover" ><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="preload-me aspect" src="https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/09/china-taiwan-760x534.jpg" srcset="https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/09/china-taiwan-760x534.jpg 760w" style="--ratio: 760 / 534" sizes="(max-width: 760px) 100vw, 760px" alt="" title="China Taiwan" width="760" height="534"  /></a>	</div>
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		<a href="https://politicstoday.org/pacific-summit-backs-concerns-over-china-missile-test-despite-nauru-dissent/" title="Pacific Summit Backs Concerns Over China Missile Test Despite Nauru Dissent" rel="bookmark">Pacific Summit Backs Concerns Over China Missile Test Despite Nauru Dissent</a>
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		<a href="https://politicstoday.org/asia-moves-to-strengthen-oil-and-gas-reserves-after-strait-of-hormuz-crisis/" class="post-thumbnail-rollover" ><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="preload-me aspect" src="https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/09/oil-hormuz-760x534.jpg" srcset="https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/09/oil-hormuz-760x534.jpg 760w" style="--ratio: 760 / 534" sizes="(max-width: 760px) 100vw, 760px" alt="" title="Oil Hormuz" width="760" height="534"  /></a>	</div>
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<div class="post-entry-content">

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		<a href="https://politicstoday.org/us-strike-on-wedding-in-southern-iran-kills-four-wounds-more-than-60/" class="post-thumbnail-rollover" ><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="preload-me aspect" src="https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/09/airstrike-in-iran-1-760x534.jpg" srcset="https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/09/airstrike-in-iran-1-760x534.jpg 760w" style="--ratio: 760 / 534" sizes="(max-width: 760px) 100vw, 760px" alt="" title="Airstrike in Iran" width="760" height="534"  /></a>	</div>
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<div class="post-entry-content">

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</div></article></div></div><!-- iso-container|iso-grid --></div></div></div></div></div>    <div class="c-space  c-space--65 c-space--custom"></div>
<style>.c-space--65:before { padding-bottom: 35px; }</style></div></div></div></div>
</div><p>The post <a href="https://politicstoday.org/stalemate-autonomy-insurgency-china-myanmar-border/">Stalemate: Autonomy and Insurgency on the China-Myanmar Border</a> appeared first on <a href="https://politicstoday.org">Politics Today</a>.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
					
		
		
			</item>
		<item>
		<title>Ukraine&#8217;s War Unveiled through Human Stories: Interview with Marichka Paplauskaite</title>
		<link>https://politicstoday.org/ukraine-war-human-stories-marichka-paplauskaite-interview/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Politics Today]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 21 Aug 2023 06:07:07 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Interview]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[World]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[BookTalk]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Security]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Geopolitics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Humanitarian Crisis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Journalism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Russia Ukraine Relations]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Russia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ukraine]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Human Rights]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Europe]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://politicstoday.org/ukraine-war-human-stories-marichka-paplauskaite-interview/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<div><img width="200" height="300" src="https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/kv-05055-200x300.jpeg" class="attachment-medium size-medium wp-post-image" alt="" style="margin-bottom: 15px;" decoding="async" loading="lazy" srcset="https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/kv-05055-200x300.jpeg 200w, https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/kv-05055-13x20.jpeg 13w, https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/kv-05055.jpeg 534w" sizes="(max-width: 200px) 100vw, 200px" /></div>
<p>Read our interview on the astonishingly powerful collection of 24 personal stories from the war in Ukraine.</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://politicstoday.org/ukraine-war-human-stories-marichka-paplauskaite-interview/">Ukraine&#8217;s War Unveiled through Human Stories: Interview with Marichka Paplauskaite</a> appeared first on <a href="https://politicstoday.org">Politics Today</a>.</p>
]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div><img width="200" height="300" src="https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/kv-05055-200x300.jpeg" class="attachment-medium size-medium wp-post-image" alt="" style="margin-bottom: 15px;" decoding="async" loading="lazy" srcset="https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/kv-05055-200x300.jpeg 200w, https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/kv-05055-13x20.jpeg 13w, https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/kv-05055.jpeg 534w" sizes="(max-width: 200px) 100vw, 200px" /></div><div class="wpb-content-wrapper"><div class="vc_row wpb_row vc_row-fluid"><div class="wpb_column vc_column_container vc_col-sm-8 vc_col-sm-offset-2"><div class="vc_column-inner"><div class="wpb_wrapper"><style type="text/css" data-type="the7_shortcodes-inline-css">.shortcode-single-image-wrap.shortcode-single-image-5b1a8aebfc69418d6a3c26150b460815.enable-bg-rollover .rollover i,
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</style><div class="shortcode-single-image-wrap shortcode-single-image-5b1a8aebfc69418d6a3c26150b460815 alignleft caption-on  enable-bg-rollover dt-icon-bg-off" style="margin-top:0px; margin-bottom:0px; margin-left:0px; margin-right:0px; width:380px;"><div class="shortcode-single-image pull-left"><div class="fancy-media-wrap" style=""><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="preload-me aspect" src="https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/08/77daysoffebcvr-final-2-380x506.jpg" srcset="https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/08/77daysoffebcvr-final-2-380x506.jpg 380w, https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/08/77daysoffebcvr-final-2-600x798.jpg 600w" sizes="(max-width: 380px) 100vw, 380px" width="380" height="506"  data-dt-location="https://politicstoday.org/?attachment_id=19630" style="--ratio: 380 / 506;" alt="" /></div></div><div class="shortcode-single-caption"><span class="shortcode-single-caption__text shortcode-single-caption__text--excerpt">77 Days of February: Living and Dying in Ukraine, Told by the Nation’s Own Journalists (Scribd, 2023)</span> <span class="shortcode-single-caption__text shortcode-single-caption__text--content">Book cover</span></div></div>
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			<p><em><span class="r-es-drop-cap">T</span>he Russian invasion of Ukraine marked a pivotal moment in international relations, sparking outrage and condemnation from the global community while igniting deep-rooted tensions that had been simmering for decades. The invasion, which began in the early days of 2022, cast a dark shadow over the principles of sovereignty and territorial integrity. As Russian forces advanced, cities and towns across Ukraine were transformed into battlefields, with civilians caught in the crossfire and their lives altered by the devastating consequences of war.</em></p>
<p><em>In <a href="https://www.scribd.com/book/657739715/77-Days-of-February-Living-and-Dying-in-Ukraine-Told-by-the-Nation-s-Own-Journalists">77 Days of February</a>, a group of distinguished writers from Reporters Magazine, the only Ukrainian publication dedicated to long-form literary journalism, present a remarkably powerful collection of 24 personal narratives. The anthology aims to give readers unprecedented access to first-hand accounts of the atrocities suffered during the early days of the invasion. </em></p>
<p><em>It also serves as a tribute to the indomitable spirit and fortitude of the Ukrainian people, who continue to demonstrate unwavering strength and pride in the face of adversity. Marichka Paplauskaite, editor-in-chief of Reporters Magazine, joins us for an interview about 77 Days of February and her accounts of enduring the war as a Ukrainian journalist.</em></p>

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			<p>Read: <a href="https://politicstoday.org/russia-ukraine-war-anniversary-twelve-books/">Russia-Ukraine War Anniversary: Twelve Books on the War</a></p>

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			<h4><strong>Q. At the beginning of the book there is an emphasis on why it is important to talk about the war in Ukraine from the beginning, with a reference to memory being unreliable. Would you like to share that with our readers?</strong></h4>
<p>The initial months of the war presented a profoundly challenging period for us. My colleagues and I felt an overwhelming urge to contribute to the cause of our country, and given our writing skills, we set out to create narratives. The primary goal of our magazine, Reporters, was to tell the story of Ukraine through the lens of personal stories, moving away from traditional hard news and focusing on the encounters, sentiments and emotions of individuals. So when the war broke out, our choice was clear: to share these stories first with fellow Ukrainians and then with a global audience.</p>
<p>This book carries an intense emotional weight, because it was simply not possible to discuss this subject without emotion. It encompasses our homeland and our own firsthand encounters. At first, we wondered if it was premature to delve into such intimate experiences. However, as the war continues and the timing of victory is uncertain, we decided to tackle the subject now, while the wounds are still raw.</p>
<p>Human memory is indeed very fragile, especially when it comes to traumatic events. The mind tries to forget events that have caused suffering. That&#8217;s why what we have managed to capture in texts about the events and memories of the first months of the war seems very important to me.</p>
<h4><strong>Q. What has changed between the beginning of the war and now?</strong></h4>
<p>We have been living under the conditions of a full-scale war for a year and a half now. It&#8217;s unfortunate to admit it, but we have managed to get accustomed to the war. In our cities, we still hear the air raid siren every day, which always means that Russian missiles or Iranian drones used by Russia are heading towards our territory to commit new acts of violence against innocent people. Nevertheless, under these circumstances we continue our work and try to live, adapting to the conditions of war.</p>

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			<p>Read:<a href="https://politicstoday.org/iranian-drones-in-ukraine-why-and-how-they-got-there/"> Iranian Drones in Ukraine: Why and How They Got There</a></p>

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			<h4><strong>Q. There is a theme in the book of how time flows differently during wartime. Can you describe that? </strong></h4>
<p>It&#8217;s really true. In the first few months of the war, we lost track of time. You have to understand that when war breaks out in your country, everything that used to interest you loses its meaning in an instant. The only goal that remains is to survive yourself and to protect your loved ones and the country as a whole from destruction.</p>
<p>I remember that I didn&#8217;t look in the mirror for the first few days because, firstly, it no longer mattered and, secondly, I was afraid to see how such intense stress had affected my face. All the daily rituals that are normal in peacetime became meaningless. We were all focused on new and life-critical tasks, like teaching my 6-year-old son to hide away from glass when he hears the air raid siren. Or figuring out where to live when your home is under threat of destruction or occupation.</p>
<p>Consequently, time lost its usual meaning. The first months of the war felt like one long, terrible day. We didn&#8217;t remember the date, the day of the week; we only knew what day of the war it was. Because that became the only significant measure. And I&#8217;m just talking about my own experience. I can only imagine how those who had to spend weeks in the cellars of Mariupol, for example, felt while the Russians were destroying the city above their heads, dropping bombs on residential buildings block by block.</p>
<p>Of course, a person adapts to everything. And later we returned to our normal sense of time, but I will never forget the time void that was there at the beginning.</p>

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			<p>Read: <a href="https://politicstoday.org/ukraine-war-international-peace-and-united-nations/">The War in Ukraine: The Protection of International Peace and the UN</a></p>

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			<h4><strong>Q. As a journalist, you&#8217;ve had the opportunity to interact with various individuals impacted by the war, is there a story that was particularly inspiring to you?</strong></h4>
<p>It&#8217;s hard for me to say which story impressed me the most. Because all the stories in the book are incredibly personal. There is one change that happened to us journalists at the beginning of the war: we became the heroes of our own texts. For instance, there are two stories about Chernihiv by our author Vira Kuriko. Her husband went off to fight, and she returned twice to the city surrounded by Russians, describing the life of people under siege.</p>
<p>Another story is &#8220;Pasha and the Old Man&#8221; by Olga Omelyanchuk. Her acquaintance overheard a phone conversation in a basement. Someone was talking about a paralyzed old man whose relatives had left him in a flat in Irpin. At the time, fierce street battles were raging in the town. Olga found soldiers who agreed to find the old man and evacuate him. It was a risky operation. But the soldiers managed to navigate the streets where gunfire echoed and rescue the man. I am struck by the humanity of this story. It shows an example of how one can remain human even in times of war.</p>
<p>Another story I would like to mention is titled &#8220;The Sea&#8221;. It tells the story of fishermen from the Kiev Sea &#8211; a vast reservoir. Villages on one bank were occupied by Russians in the early days, while on the other bank there was a fishing base. In times of peace these men would have been considered poachers, but in times of war they became heroes. They would cross the sea in their boats and rescue people from the occupation. This was dangerous because the sea was still covered with ice and the Russians were shelling the boats. Nevertheless, these fishermen risked their lives to save others.</p>
<p>As you can see, these stories depict not only the horrors of war, but also courage, compassion, desperation, and light.</p>
<h4><strong>Q. How has covering these stories affected you? Have you had the space to reflect on your own grief?</strong></h4>
<p>When we were working on these stories, we had to prepare everything so quickly that we had no time to think. But afterwards I had some time to think and I realized that it&#8217;s not about the stories, it&#8217;s about the lessons I learned during the war and during my work as a journalist and editor living in Ukraine.</p>
<p>We feel that we must live now; if you want to do something, do it today. If you want to tell someone you love them, tell them today. It&#8217;s not only because of the conditions of our personal lives during the war in general, but also because there are many stories, for example about nameless graves, that remind us to appreciate what we have.</p>

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			<p>Read: <a href="https://politicstoday.org/no-one-should-be-left-behind-disabled-people-in-the-russia-ukraine-war-and-armed-conflicts/">No One Should Be Left Behind: Disabled People in the Russia-Ukraine War and Armed Conflicts</a></p>

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			<h4><strong>Q. What struggles do you face bringing these stories to a global audience?</strong></h4>
<p>It was so important for us to share our work with readers abroad because we are afraid that the war will be normalized, as I mentioned before. We still need support, and I absolutely understand that people abroad can lose interest in the war in Ukraine and think, &#8220;Well, it&#8217;s news from Ukraine again. But for us, it&#8217;s a real and ongoing tragedy, all the time, in every town.</p>
<p>We want people to not just read the stories, but to empathize and think about how they would feel and act in that situation. And I hope that through these stories our readers can form an emotional connection with Ukraine. I think the biggest challenge is that it&#8217;s incredibly difficult to comprehend the experience of war unless you&#8217;ve been through it. I&#8217;ve read numerous books about different conflicts around the world. But when it came to war in my own country, I wasn&#8217;t prepared.</p>
<p>War is the worst experience one can have. Our subconscious can block the desire to understand this experience because it&#8217;s too painful. That&#8217;s why I hope that the stories in the book, which are very emotional and personal, will give foreign readers a chance to somewhat grasp our reality.</p>
<h4><strong>Q. Could you tell us about networks of collaborations amongst journalists at this time?</strong></h4>
<p>Our team isn&#8217;t large; besides editors, we only have two full-time correspondents. However, we have a large pool of freelance authors across the country. When the war started, they all reported to me about the stories they were witnessing and wanted to describe. It was a unique time of unity for all citizens, and journalists were no exception. We worked as a single team, driven by the importance of documenting events of historic magnitude, recording the crimes of the Russians, and capturing new pages in Ukrainian history. It was a time of solidarity and professional unity within the journalistic community.</p>

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			<p>Read: <a href="https://politicstoday.org/international-law-icc-russia-ukraine-war-crime/">Who Is Guilty of War Crimes in Ukraine?</a></p>

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			<h4><strong>Q. How has misinformation made life more difficult for the Ukrainian people during the war?</strong></h4>
<p>Personally, I haven&#8217;t found this to be a problematic issue because we don&#8217;t watch or rely on Russian propaganda TV channels or anything of that sort. If we come across something that raises suspicion or doubt, we check it out. Sometimes, when we come across something dubious, we instinctively recognize its lack of credibility. We make sure to verify and re-verify; after all, we have colleagues in all regions of Ukraine.</p>
<p>For instance, when a Russian propaganda channel tried to dismiss the atrocities in Bucha as a hoax and labeled the alleged victims as actors, my colleagues and friends were in Bucha. They witnessed the bodies on the streets, took videos and photographs that unequivocally confirmed the reality of the situation. Russian propaganda doesn&#8217;t shake us because we are here, on the ground, witnessing everything first hand.</p>
<h4><strong>Q. What important remarks would you like to share with our readers?</strong></h4>
<p>The main message I want to convey is that the war is an ongoing reality and our struggle persists. Readers may peruse the accounts documented within the 77 Days of February and recognize the tragedies and turmoil depicted, but they have the privilege of closing the book and returning to their daily lives. The reality we face, however, remains unchanged, with analogous stories unfolding every day across Ukraine. Our need for support continues.</p>

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</div></article></div></div><!-- iso-container|iso-grid --></div></div></div></div></div>    <div class="c-space  c-space--77 c-space--custom"></div>
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</div><p>The post <a href="https://politicstoday.org/ukraine-war-human-stories-marichka-paplauskaite-interview/">Ukraine&#8217;s War Unveiled through Human Stories: Interview with Marichka Paplauskaite</a> appeared first on <a href="https://politicstoday.org">Politics Today</a>.</p>
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		<item>
		<title>The Great Clash in Foreign Policy: Books to Read on the US-China Rivalry</title>
		<link>https://politicstoday.org/great-powers-foreign-policy-books-on-china-united-states-rivalry/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Politics Today]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 24 Apr 2023 11:30:51 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Book Bundle]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Foreign Policy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Regional Security]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Geopolitics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[U.S. Foreign Policy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[China]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[World Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Asia-Pacific]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[US-China relations]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Asia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[US-China Trade War]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[United States]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[China Taiwan Relations]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://politicstoday.org/great-powers-foreign-policy-books-on-china-united-states-rivalry/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<div><img width="300" height="200" src="https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/chinausbookbundle-300x200.jpg" class="attachment-medium size-medium wp-post-image" alt="" style="margin-bottom: 15px;" decoding="async" loading="lazy" srcset="https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/chinausbookbundle-300x200.jpg 300w, https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/chinausbookbundle-768x512.jpg 768w, https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/chinausbookbundle.jpg 800w" sizes="(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px" /></div>
<p>The competition between China and the United States has overtaken the world agenda and is shaping foreign policy decisions globally.</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://politicstoday.org/great-powers-foreign-policy-books-on-china-united-states-rivalry/">The Great Clash in Foreign Policy: Books to Read on the US-China Rivalry</a> appeared first on <a href="https://politicstoday.org">Politics Today</a>.</p>
]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div><img width="300" height="200" src="https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/chinausbookbundle-300x200.jpg" class="attachment-medium size-medium wp-post-image" alt="" style="margin-bottom: 15px;" decoding="async" loading="lazy" srcset="https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/chinausbookbundle-300x200.jpg 300w, https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/chinausbookbundle-768x512.jpg 768w, https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/chinausbookbundle.jpg 800w" sizes="(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px" /></div><div class="wpb-content-wrapper"><div class="vc_row wpb_row vc_row-fluid"><div class="wpb_column vc_column_container vc_col-sm-8 vc_col-sm-offset-2"><div class="vc_column-inner"><div class="wpb_wrapper">    <div class="c-space  c-space--78 c-space--custom"></div>
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			<p><span class="r-es-drop-cap">T</span></p>
<p><em>he Pacific is heating up. The rise of China rocks the balance of power making room for an emerging new order. In this month’s book bundle, we present eight books about the hottest topic of international affairs: the U.S.-China rivalry. What awaits the world as tensions rise? This selection approaches the topic from comprehensive and diverse angles ranging from international relations theory assumptions to the most outstanding topics of the U.S.-China rivalry such as economic leadership and information war. </em></p>
<p><em>The competition between the two great powers has overtaken the world agenda and is shaping foreign policy decisions globally. Therefore, this book bundle was compiled with special attention to the reactions of middle and smaller powers in the face of this competition, aiming to give the reader a broader perspective to interpret what awaits the world more holistically.</em></p>

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			<p>Read: <a href="https://politicstoday.org/china-russia-united-states-compete-in-africa/">How China, Russia and the US Compete Over Control in Africa</a></p>

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</style><div class="shortcode-single-image-wrap shortcode-single-image-dccff8f30d07769277431d15a3518e53 alignleft caption-on  enable-bg-rollover dt-icon-bg-off" style="margin-top:0px; margin-bottom:0px; margin-left:0px; margin-right:0px; width:380px;"><div class="shortcode-single-image pull-left"><div class="fancy-media-wrap" style=""><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="preload-me aspect" src="https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/rumblesofthunder-380x569.jpg" srcset="https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/rumblesofthunder-380x569.jpg 380w, https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/rumblesofthunder.jpg 534w" sizes="(max-width: 380px) 100vw, 380px" width="380" height="569"  data-dt-location="https://politicstoday.org/?attachment_id=19286" style="--ratio: 380 / 569;" alt="" /></div></div><div class="shortcode-single-caption"><span class="shortcode-single-caption__text shortcode-single-caption__text--excerpt">Rumbles of Thunder: Power Shifts and the Sino-American War</span> <span class="shortcode-single-caption__text shortcode-single-caption__text--content">Book cover</span></div></div>
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			<p>Will the shift in the balance of power between the U.S. and China lead to a war? International relations theory predicts that shifts between a hegemon and a rising power may trigger actions with such consequences. Steve Chan examines how many of these theories hold true in the case of U.S.-China relations with Taiwan remaining a flash point for a possible Sino-American conflict.</p>
<p><em>Rumbles of Thunder: Power Shifts and the Danger of Sino-American War</em> further explores the risk-oriented popular narratives on the topic with sound and well-grounded judgement, considering whether several factors that can raise or lower international tension apply to the current situation. Chan criticizes overly mechanistic frameworks and shows that power shifts do not predetermine violent outcomes—and neither does their absence ensure peace. In fact, many factors like domestic politics, international political economy, and the choices of individual leaders come into play.</p>
<p><em>Rumbles of Thunder</em> demonstrates that claims of a “rising China” catching up and overtaking the United States are alarmist, and Chan predicts that American structural advantages will endure for some time to come. Contrary to popular belief, Chan does not maintain that China acts like a revisionist power seeking to overturn the system or that the U.S. is defending the international order. <em>Rumbles of Thunder</em> brings a fresh analytical outlook to the table and challenges conventional wisdom on the likelihood of war between the United States and China.</p>
<p>Steve Chan, <em>Rumbles of Thunder: Power Shifts and the Danger of Sino-American War</em> (Columbia University Press, 2022) ISBN: 9780231208451, 336 pages</p>

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</style><div class="shortcode-single-image-wrap shortcode-single-image-647b2692a6a6316d84e59c41197fe04d alignleft caption-on  enable-bg-rollover dt-icon-bg-off" style="margin-top:0px; margin-bottom:0px; margin-left:0px; margin-right:0px; width:380px;"><div class="shortcode-single-image pull-left"><div class="fancy-media-wrap" style=""><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="preload-me aspect" src="https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/accidentalconflict-380x573.jpg" srcset="https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/accidentalconflict-380x573.jpg 380w, https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/accidentalconflict.jpg 530w" sizes="(max-width: 380px) 100vw, 380px" width="380" height="573"  data-dt-location="https://politicstoday.org/?attachment_id=19287" style="--ratio: 380 / 573;" alt="" /></div></div><div class="shortcode-single-caption"><span class="shortcode-single-caption__text shortcode-single-caption__text--excerpt">Accidental Conflict: America, China, and the Clash of False Narratives</span> <span class="shortcode-single-caption__text shortcode-single-caption__text--content">Book cover</span></div></div>
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			<p>In <em>Accidental Conflict: America, China, and the Clash of False Narratives, </em>Stephan Roach argues that the conflict between the U.S. and China wouldn’t have emerged were it not for a needless clash of false narratives, and that much of the rhetoric on both sides is dangerously misguided, amplified by information distortion, and should be seen more like a reflection of each nation’s fears and vulnerabilities than a credible assessment of the risks they face. The U.S. blames its trade and technology threats on China yet overlooks its shaky saving foundation. Meanwhile, China blames its growth challenges on the alleged U.S. containment of market-based socialism, ignoring its failed economic rebalancing.</p>
<p><em>Accidental Conflict: America, China, and the Clash of False Narratives</em> provides an analysis of both nations’ economies, politics, and policies, and offers a new road map for restoring a mutually advantageous relationship. The book will be available in paperback on June 6, 2023.</p>
<p>Stephan Roach, <em>Accidental Conflict: America, China, and the Clash of False Narratives</em> (Yale University Press, 2022) ISBN: 9780300259643, 448 pages</p>

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			<p>Read: <a href="https://politicstoday.org/united-states-china-rivalry-over-space-and-small-satellites/">The US-China Rivalry over Space and Small Satellites Reaches New Levels</a></p>

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</style><div class="shortcode-single-image-wrap shortcode-single-image-a8c862a874043d14eea8f28948d522f2 alignleft caption-on  enable-bg-rollover dt-icon-bg-off" style="margin-top:0px; margin-bottom:0px; margin-left:0px; margin-right:0px; width:380px;"><div class="shortcode-single-image pull-left"><div class="fancy-media-wrap" style=""><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="preload-me aspect" src="https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/theavoidablewar-380x589.jpg" srcset="https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/theavoidablewar-380x589.jpg 380w, https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/theavoidablewar.jpg 516w" sizes="(max-width: 380px) 100vw, 380px" width="380" height="589"  data-dt-location="https://politicstoday.org/?attachment_id=19288" style="--ratio: 380 / 589;" alt="" /></div></div><div class="shortcode-single-caption"><span class="shortcode-single-caption__text shortcode-single-caption__text--excerpt">The Avoidable War: The Dangers of a Catastrophic Conflict between the U.S. and Xi Jinping's China</span> <span class="shortcode-single-caption__text shortcode-single-caption__text--content">Book cover</span></div></div>
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			<p>Kevin Rudd, a former Australian prime minister who spent more than forty years in China, puts the turbulent relationship between the U.S. and China under the spotlight with insightful analyses based on his firsthand understanding of the mindsets of the leadership whose judgment will determine whether the future course of events will escalate to a war.</p>
<p>Rudd provides context as to why the U.S.-China relationship rests on a seismic fault: cultural misunderstanding, historical grievance, and ideological incompatibility are all pivotal antecedents. The antagonism between the two superpowers is starkly visible, among others, in the field of military, intelligence, technology, and trade, while either country’s capacity to draw the last straw grows daily.</p>
<p>Against this gloomy backdrop, Rudd constructively argues that the relationship is not doomed to escalating tension and war. If both sides can sustain a “managed strategic competition” by coexisting without betraying their core interests, conflict could be avoided. However, the opposite could be catastrophic. <em>The Avoidable War: The Dangers of a Catastrophic Conflict between the US and Xi Jinping&#8217;s China </em>demystifies the actions of both sides, explaining and translating them for the benefit of the other.</p>
<p>Kevin Rudd, <em>The Avoidable War: The Dangers of a Catastrophic Conflict between the US and Xi Jinping&#8217;s China</em> (PublicAffairs, 2022) ISBN-13 9781541701304, 432 pages</p>

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</style><div class="shortcode-single-image-wrap shortcode-single-image-e390edcef6cf6eb79232439e1f738c96 alignleft caption-on  enable-bg-rollover dt-icon-bg-off" style="margin-top:0px; margin-bottom:0px; margin-left:0px; margin-right:0px; width:380px;"><div class="shortcode-single-image pull-left"><div class="fancy-media-wrap" style=""><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="preload-me aspect" src="https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/thequestforglobaleconomicleadership-380x572.jpg" srcset="https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/thequestforglobaleconomicleadership-380x572.jpg 380w, https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/thequestforglobaleconomicleadership.jpg 531w" sizes="(max-width: 380px) 100vw, 380px" width="380" height="572"  data-dt-location="https://politicstoday.org/?attachment_id=19289" style="--ratio: 380 / 572;" alt="" /></div></div><div class="shortcode-single-caption"><span class="shortcode-single-caption__text shortcode-single-caption__text--excerpt">The United States vs. China: The Quest for Global Economic Leadership</span> <span class="shortcode-single-caption__text shortcode-single-caption__text--content">Book cover</span></div></div>
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			<p>As the U.S. faces the first real challenge to its economic hegemony with the rise of China, <em>The United States vs. China: The Quest for Global Economic Leadership</em> sees experienced policymaker, economist, and scholar C. Fred Bergsten analyze the two great powers’ competition from the scope of global economic leadership. Is economic conflict beyond the existing trade war inevitable between China and the U.S.? Will their clash produce a new economic leadership vacuum? What can the consequences of a world economy adopting Chinese characteristics be?</p>
<p>According to Bergsten a confrontation between the two would be calamitous. He further argues that it would be self-defeating for the U.S. to attempt to &#8220;decouple&#8221; from its rival. Bergsten advices the U.S. to pursue &#8220;conditional competitive cooperation&#8221; to lead, rather than destroy, the world economy instead of a policy of containment. As for China, he recommends exercising constructive global leadership.</p>
<p>Fred Bergsten, <em>The United States vs. China: The Quest for Global Economic Leadership</em> (Polity Press, 2022) ISBN-13 978-1509547357, 384 pages</p>

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			<p>Read: <a href="https://politicstoday.org/united-states-china-semiconductor-rivalry/">The US and China Semiconductor Rivalry: What Are the Stakes?</a></p>

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</style><div class="shortcode-single-image-wrap shortcode-single-image-af2a50f1ec5ddc4418e20e7322e9bf0e alignleft caption-on  enable-bg-rollover dt-icon-bg-off" style="margin-top:0px; margin-bottom:0px; margin-left:0px; margin-right:0px; width:380px;"><div class="shortcode-single-image pull-left"><div class="fancy-media-wrap" style=""><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="preload-me aspect" src="https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/america-and-the-china-threat-380x570.jpg" srcset="https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/america-and-the-china-threat-380x570.jpg 380w, https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/america-and-the-china-threat.jpg 533w" sizes="(max-width: 380px) 100vw, 380px" width="380" height="570"  data-dt-location="https://politicstoday.org/?attachment_id=19290" style="--ratio: 380 / 570;" alt="" /></div></div><div class="shortcode-single-caption"><span class="shortcode-single-caption__text shortcode-single-caption__text--excerpt">America and the China Threat: From the End of History to the End of Empire </span> <span class="shortcode-single-caption__text shortcode-single-caption__text--content">Book cover</span></div></div>
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			<p>Is China really a threat to the U.S. or just a threat to its unilateral superpower status? According to Paolo Urio, the U.S. has historically disguised the true nature of its relations with the nations that have stood in the way of its ambitions, often projecting fear of harm from other nations even as it was expanding its dominion over them. <em>America and the China Threat: From the End of History to the End of Empire</em> revisits and debunks the idea of the universality of U.S. values, and the perception of the imperial, dictatorial, and state capitalist character of today&#8217;s China. It provides a historical analysis of the divergent ideologies of the U.S. and China, and reveals the source of strain the U.S. faces in adapting to the changes occurring in the international system that has moved beyond its exceptionalism and uncontested leadership, now challenged by China.</p>
<p>Urio challenges the U.S. proclamation that it alone can assure stability and prosperity in the international system, while demonstrating that Chinese ideology has achieved greater flexibility by integrating values imported from the West and several Confucian values. Urio argues that China is better able to adapt its public policies to changes in the national and international environments. <em>America and the China Threat: From the End of History to the End of Empire</em> further addresses China&#8217;s significant military and economic advances and its new investments.</p>
<p>Paolo Urio, <em>America and the China Threat: From the End of History to the End of Empire</em> (Clarity Press, 2022) ISBN-10 1949762505, 476 pages</p>

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</style><div class="shortcode-single-image-wrap shortcode-single-image-7af82d1cb1ba8a6863c62a53b8c231f6 alignleft caption-on  enable-bg-rollover dt-icon-bg-off" style="margin-top:0px; margin-bottom:0px; margin-left:0px; margin-right:0px; width:380px;"><div class="shortcode-single-image pull-left"><div class="fancy-media-wrap" style=""><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="preload-me aspect" src="https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/informationwar-380x570.jpg" srcset="https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/informationwar-380x570.jpg 380w, https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/informationwar.jpg 533w" sizes="(max-width: 380px) 100vw, 380px" width="380" height="570"  data-dt-location="https://politicstoday.org/?attachment_id=19291" style="--ratio: 380 / 570;" alt="" /></div></div><div class="shortcode-single-caption"><span class="shortcode-single-caption__text shortcode-single-caption__text--excerpt">Information War: How Artificial Intelligence Is Driving U.S.-China Military Competition</span> <span class="shortcode-single-caption__text shortcode-single-caption__text--content">Book cover</span></div></div>
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			<p><em>Information War: How Artificial Intelligence Is Driving U.S.-China Military Competition</em> addresses a crucial variable shaping the intensifying confrontation between the U.S. and China: the struggle to control information. How will modern technology be wielded in a rising conflict between the two superpowers?</p>
<p>Technology and national security expert Tom Stefanick argues that the two contemporary superpowers will base their security competition primarily on the fight to dominate information and perception. How will the adversaries attack the other’s information architecture while protecting their own? Stefanick highlights that the way each country chooses to employ information countermeasures will determine the amount of friction and uncertainty in the conflict.</p>
<p>Stefanick draws attention to artificial intelligence, which will play an important role. <em>Information War: How Artificial Intelligence Is Driving U.S.-China Military Competition</em> reviews the recent Chinese research and trends in AI to determine how it will approach the conflict, and provides a sober view of how artificial intelligence will be weaponized in the new information war.</p>
<p>Tom Stefanick, <em>Information War: How Artificial Intelligence Is Driving U.S.-China Military Competition</em> (Brookings Institution Press, 2022) ISBN-13: 9780815738824, 280 pages</p>

		</div>
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    <div class="c-space  c-space--88 c-space--custom"></div>
<style>.c-space--88:before { padding-bottom: 35px; }</style></div></div></div></div><div class="vc_row wpb_row vc_row-fluid"><div class="wpb_column vc_column_container vc_col-sm-12"><div class="vc_column-inner"><div class="wpb_wrapper">
	<div class="wpb_text_column wpb_content_element  c-read" >
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			<p>Read: <a href="https://politicstoday.org/china-united-states-ai-artificial-intelligence-supremacy/">China or the United States: Who Will Win the Race for AI Supremacy?</a></p>

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.shortcode-single-image-wrap.shortcode-single-image-92c19ed0b110b4dc02076c900083f6d6.enable-bg-rollover .rollover-video i {
  background: -webkit-linear-gradient();
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</style><div class="shortcode-single-image-wrap shortcode-single-image-92c19ed0b110b4dc02076c900083f6d6 alignleft caption-on  enable-bg-rollover dt-icon-bg-off" style="margin-top:0px; margin-bottom:0px; margin-left:0px; margin-right:0px; width:380px;"><div class="shortcode-single-image pull-left"><div class="fancy-media-wrap" style=""><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="preload-me aspect" src="https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/therupture-380x611.jpg" srcset="https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/therupture-380x611.jpg 380w, https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/therupture.jpg 497w" sizes="(max-width: 380px) 100vw, 380px" width="380" height="611"  data-dt-location="https://politicstoday.org/?attachment_id=19292" style="--ratio: 380 / 611;" alt="" /></div></div><div class="shortcode-single-caption"><span class="shortcode-single-caption__text shortcode-single-caption__text--excerpt">The Rupture: China and the Global Race for the Future</span> <span class="shortcode-single-caption__text shortcode-single-caption__text--content">Book cover</span></div></div>
	<div class="wpb_text_column wpb_content_element  c-editor-content" >
		<div class="wpb_wrapper">
			<p>China expert Andrew Small offers an eclectic view of a rivalry ranging far beyond “great power” politics. He provides the inside story of a revolution in the China policy of countries from around the world. <em>The Rupture: China and the Global Race for the Future</em> explains a diverse range of topics such as how many of the Western politicians and business leaders closest to Beijing have now become its sharpest opponents, how the COVID-19 pandemic dramatically accelerated this trend, and why 5G represents the first test case as to whether China can win the race for the future.</p>
<p>As competition grows between systems, the Western model itself is transforming given that China’s rise changes both the balance of ideas and the balance of power. Small traces U.S. efforts to recast relations with old allies, examining Europe’s growing role in the technological and economic contest, and Beijing’s attempts to build a coalition of its own.</p>
<p>Andrew Small, <em>The Rupture: China and the Global Race for the Future</em> (Hurst Publishers, 2022) ISBN 9781787387782, 304 pages</p>

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.shortcode-single-image-wrap.shortcode-single-image-48bed5b459ee7ada25cc7970f156d238.enable-bg-rollover .rollover-video i {
  background: -webkit-linear-gradient();
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.shortcode-single-image-wrap.shortcode-single-image-48bed5b459ee7ada25cc7970f156d238 .rollover-icon {
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.dt-icon-bg-on.shortcode-single-image-wrap.shortcode-single-image-48bed5b459ee7ada25cc7970f156d238 .rollover-icon {
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</style><div class="shortcode-single-image-wrap shortcode-single-image-48bed5b459ee7ada25cc7970f156d238 alignleft caption-on  enable-bg-rollover dt-icon-bg-off" style="margin-top:0px; margin-bottom:0px; margin-left:0px; margin-right:0px; width:380px;"><div class="shortcode-single-image pull-left"><div class="fancy-media-wrap" style=""><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="preload-me aspect" src="https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/strategicoptions.jpg" srcset="https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/strategicoptions.jpg 327w" sizes="(max-width: 327px) 100vw, 327px" width="327" height="498"  data-dt-location="https://politicstoday.org/?attachment_id=19293" style="--ratio: 327 / 498;" alt="" /></div></div><div class="shortcode-single-caption"><span class="shortcode-single-caption__text shortcode-single-caption__text--excerpt">The Strategic Options of Middle Powers in the Asia-Pacific</span> <span class="shortcode-single-caption__text shortcode-single-caption__text--content">Book cover</span></div></div>
	<div class="wpb_text_column wpb_content_element  c-editor-content" >
		<div class="wpb_wrapper">
			<p>What path does a middle power take when engrossed in the competition between great powers? Do they get caught up between the two or forge a path of their own? In the heating U.S.-China rivalry, what are the strategic responses of middle powers in the Asia-Pacific? <em>The Strategic Options of Middle Powers in the Asia-Pacific</em> examines these questions through the specific case studies of South Korea, Australia, Japan, India, Taiwan, and Vietnam from their local perspectives.</p>
<p>With each chapter, written by experts, the book provides comprehensive studies of the regional powers in the Asia-Pacific with an in-depth examination of the contemporary geopolitics of the region, including the impact of both the Trump and Biden administrations, Beijing’s “wolf warrior” diplomacy, cross-strait relations with Taiwan, and the influences of Japan, Vietnam, Australia, and South Korea. <em>The Strategic Options of Middle Powers in the Asia-Pacific</em> reveals that regional middle powers actually exert influence on the direction of regional cooperation in the Asia-Pacific, and develops theories of foreign policy analyses, forming a systematic framework through initiating crucial concepts, including reluctant hedging, economic statecraft, and strategic position-taking.</p>
<p>Chien-Wen Kou, Chiung-Chiu Huang, Brian Job,<em> The Strategic Options of Middle Powers in the Asia-Pacific </em>(Routledge, 2022) ISBN 9781003156314, 278 pages</p>

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</div><p>The post <a href="https://politicstoday.org/great-powers-foreign-policy-books-on-china-united-states-rivalry/">The Great Clash in Foreign Policy: Books to Read on the US-China Rivalry</a> appeared first on <a href="https://politicstoday.org">Politics Today</a>.</p>
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		<title>The Geopolitical Crisis in the Caucasus, Ukraine, and the Middle East</title>
		<link>https://politicstoday.org/the-geopolitical-crisis-in-the-caucasus-ukraine-and-the-middle-east/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Politics Today]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 21 Sep 2016 11:05:40 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Interview]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Iran]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Georgia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Russia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Şener Aktürk]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ukraine]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Crisis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[PKK]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Turkey]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Egypt]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[US]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Crimea]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Syria]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Caucasus]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Middle East]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Geopolitics]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://politicstoday.org/the-geopolitical-crisis-in-the-caucasus-ukraine-and-the-middle-east/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<div><img width="300" height="182" src="https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/IMG_4432-3-300x182.jpg" class="attachment-medium size-medium wp-post-image" alt="" style="margin-bottom: 15px;" decoding="async" loading="lazy" srcset="https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/IMG_4432-3-300x182.jpg 300w, https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/IMG_4432-3-1024x622.jpg 1024w, https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/IMG_4432-3-768x467.jpg 768w, https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/IMG_4432-3.jpg 1168w" sizes="(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px" /></div>
<p>Serhan Afacan interviewed Professor Şener Aktürk and talked about the present international developments with regard to the geopolitical crisis in the Caucasus, Ukraine, and the Middle East.</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://politicstoday.org/the-geopolitical-crisis-in-the-caucasus-ukraine-and-the-middle-east/">The Geopolitical Crisis in the Caucasus, Ukraine, and the Middle East</a> appeared first on <a href="https://politicstoday.org">Politics Today</a>.</p>
]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div><img width="300" height="182" src="https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/IMG_4432-3-300x182.jpg" class="attachment-medium size-medium wp-post-image" alt="" style="margin-bottom: 15px;" decoding="async" loading="lazy" srcset="https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/IMG_4432-3-300x182.jpg 300w, https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/IMG_4432-3-1024x622.jpg 1024w, https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/IMG_4432-3-768x467.jpg 768w, https://politicstoday.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/IMG_4432-3.jpg 1168w" sizes="(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px" /></div><div class="wpb-content-wrapper"><div class="vc_row wpb_row vc_row-fluid"><div class="wpb_column vc_column_container vc_col-sm-8 vc_col-sm-offset-2"><div class="vc_column-inner"><div class="wpb_wrapper">    <div class="c-space  c-space--93 c-space--custom"></div>
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<p><em style="font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, 'Segoe UI', Roboto, Oxygen-Sans, Ubuntu, Cantarell, 'Helvetica Neue', sans-serif;"><span class="r-es-drop-cap">S</span>erhan Afacan interviewed Professor Şener Aktürk and talked about the present international developments with regard to the geopolitical crisis in the Caucasus, Ukraine, and the Middle East. Professor Aktürk extensively analyzed the growing political and military influence of Russia in the Caucasus, Ukraine, and the Middle East, the Western inaction to this and Turkey’s efforts to multiply its policy options in the region.</em></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
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<h4></h4>
<h4><strong>One of the bases and pretexts of the Russian invasion of Ukraine and the partial annexation of the country was the Russian majority, especially in Crimea. Is that right?</strong></h4>
<p>Yes – only Crimea has an ethnic Russian majority. No other province officially has an ethnic Russian majority. Crimea has an ethnic Russian majority of about three-fifths (60%).</p>
<h4><strong>So, there is, again, a nationalist element involved in this invasion as well.</strong></h4>
<p>That is true. And people who study Crimea always recognize that it had a tenuous and fragile link with the rest of Ukraine. Not just because of the ethnic element, or the linguistic element, since many ethnic Ukrainians also speak Russian. They also vote for pro-Russian political parties. So, Crimea was not distinct in that, because in Donetsk and Luhansk, there are also Russian-supported insurgencies and they claim to have established two different republics now – the Donetsk People’s Republic and the Luhansk People’s Republic. But, I do not think Russia is going to annex them any time soon.</p>
<p>But, in the Crimean case, you already had an autonomous republic within Ukraine. You know, it has a different administrative status, but is also extremely strategic. I mean, Crimea is to the Black Sea what Cyprus is to the Eastern Mediterranean. So, it was administratively easy, geographically easy, with a tiny link to the rest of Ukraine since Crimea is more like an island. There is the ethnic legitimation, and in Sevastopol there already was an enormous Russian naval base, so there were already Russian soldiers there. So, it was the easiest and most important strategically located piece of Ukraine for Russia to annex. It’s an occupation and annexation that was coming. I could say that it is scandalous that the Western alliance didn&#8217;t or couldn&#8217;t do anything.</p>
<h4><strong>Why have they failed to do anything?</strong></h4>
<p>Well, because they were divided.</p>
<h4><strong>But they somehow could see it coming, right?</strong></h4>
<p>Well, I think that everyone who studied Ukraine and was engaged with it in some way should have been able to see it coming. But, in general, why didn&#8217;t the West give a more powerful response to the aggression in the case of Ukraine? We should remember that Ukraine’s territorial integrity was guaranteed by the UK and the US in the Budapest Memorandum of 1994, in return for Ukraine surrendering all of its nuclear weapons. In terms of weapons, Ukraine was the third largest nuclear country in the world, after the US and Russia. Ukraine surrendered all of its nuclear arsenal in return for a joint UK, US and Russian guarantee of its territorial integrity.</p>
<h4><strong>So, in a sense, Ukraine was left vulnerable to future Russian aggression?</strong></h4>
<p>Yes. We have here a country that surrendered all of its nuclear weapons in return for its territorial integrity. Yet, even then, the international community did nothing to preserve Ukraine’s territorial integrity. How convincing would it be for North Korea or Iran, or any country, to give up its nuclear weapons in return for any kind of international guarantee? If the international community didn&#8217;t fulfill its promise to Ukraine, how can we be sure that it will fulfil it for any country? So, despite all of this legal guarantee – although one could argue that there is ambiguity about the level of commitment, though there is still a written commitment in return for nuclear weapons – despite how the Russian occupation and annexation of Crimea has changed the geopolitical balance in the entire region of the Black Sea, despite all kinds of terrible precedents that occupation plus annexation could have in post-WW2 Europe and the world, the West did not do anything.</p>
<p>It was clearly divided. Europe, including Germany, was siding more with non-intervention, and so there was not one voice in the Western alliance, as we have seen in many Western-Russian crises over the past 10 years. Take, for instance, the US attempt at making Ukraine and Georgia NATO members, which, in 2007, was blocked by France and Germany to a considerable extent. So, Russia is extremely skilled at dividing the Western alliance, because this is not some sort of passive division, and Russia is actively involved in trying to neutralize continental Europe and isolate it from the UK and the US and, you know, sabotaging the Transatlantic Alliance. And, in doing so, it has succeeded to a considerable extent. The purpose here is to immobilize the Western alliance, not to take it over, but to render it incapable of doing anything, which has been achieved.</p>
<p>There is an incredible level of Russian soft power that has always been overlooked. People always focus on Russia’s hard power, modernized navy, missiles and military that are on display in Syria. But, there is also Russia’s soft power. I mean, all the pro-Russian, far-right political parties in Italy, in Germany, which, in the domestic politics of these European countries, are blocking a more hard-line position against Russia. Also, as a part of a seemingly contradictory position, the very far-left parties also are, in effect, pro-Russian and they block action against Russia.</p>
<p>They do so because of their former communist and other allegiances, or their common fight against the American unipolar world order, even the use of, you know, the Russian Orthodox Church and Orthodox networks, the use of Eurasianists, and Neo-Eurasianists in many countries, including Turkey, as a pro-Russian kind of lobby or influence group. Besides, many ethnic and sectarian insurgencies, from the PKK to, you know, various other ethnic, sectarian groups, you could say, have taken a pro-Russian stance. Actually, Russia has an incredible, understated and overlooked amount of soft power that it mobilized in the process of occupying and annexing Crimea from Ukraine and, later, when it directly intervened in Syria and the rest of the world did nothing.</p>
<h4><strong>So, the Western reaction or inaction vis-à-vis the Russian occupation of Ukraine is shocking. Maybe it is no less shocking than the occupation itself. But, let’s continue talking about Russia. And this time let’s go further to the South. Let’s focus on another context: the Russian involvement in the Syrian crisis. I don&#8217;t know how surprising it was for you or for other analysts, but many fail to understand why the Russians were so aggressively involved in Syria.</strong></h4>
<p>I think it was slightly surprising for me, only in the sense of military capability. So, many observers, including myself, were not sure if Russia could project its military power, from a technical and logistical point of view, to the Eastern Mediterranean and to the Middle Eastern battle field. So, it wasn&#8217;t, at least in my case, a question about Russia’s desire to do it but about the ability to do it. Clearly, tens of billions of dollars that the Putin government invested in military modernization and revamping since the not-so-successful 5 Days War against Georgia paid off. The Russian army surely defeated the Georgian army, but the Russian military wasn&#8217;t so successful and flawless against the Georgian military. So, there was a motivation to launch more comprehensive military modernization in 2010, and it is clear that this time it succeeded. So, Russia showed that it is the second power.</p>
<p>France has operations in the Ivory Coast and Mali etc., which make it another potential power; but even France could not do what Russia is single-handedly doing in Syria. So, Russia, in a way, consolidated its position as the second great power, able to project its military might across regions. So, that was surprising, of course, in a bad way, particularly for the Syrian people, from a purely technical point of view. The second part is the motivation. I think that, despite the annexation and occupation of Crimea, and despite the declaration of the independence of the Donetsk People’s Republic and the Luhansk People’s Republic in Eastern Ukraine with direct Russian political, economic and military support, despite these relative advances by Russia, I don&#8217;t think Moscow sees itself as having succeeded in Ukraine. I think they were hoping for much more.</p>

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	</h3>

	<div class="entry-meta"><span class="category-link"><a href="https://politicstoday.org/category/middle-east/">Middle East</a></span><a class="author vcard" href="https://politicstoday.org/author/politics-today/" title="View all posts by Politics Today" rel="author">By <span class="fn">Politics Today</span></a></div>
	
	
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			<article class="col-xs-12 col-md-11">They were hoping to get all of what they call “Novorossiya”, or new Russia, which is a historic name for everything you see on this map [on the office wall of Sener Akturk, a map of split Ukraine during 2004 elections between Yanukovych and Yushchenko], all of Southern Ukraine, all the Black Sea coast including Odessa, and all of Eastern Ukraine, including Ukraine’s second biggest city, Kharkiv. So, the Russian policy makers were hoping that most of Eastern and Southern Ukraine would be up in arms against the pro-Western Kyiv government. More or less, they would get a 50/50 deal of sorts and the Kiev government would give up its effort to integrate with the West and would be replaced by at least a neutral government.Russian policy makers have succeeded in doing this exact thing in Georgia. And, after the 5 Days War, they punished the pro-Western, pro-American, pro-Turkish Mikheil Saakashvili government. Saakashvili is not a political actor in Georgia anymore. He lost everything and now he is employed as a governor in Ukraine. A pro-Western, pro-Turkish, pro-American political bloc has lost in Georgia.</p>
<h4><strong>He was replaced by Ivanishvili.</strong></h4>
<p>Yes. And after the war, after militarily punishing Saakashvili for his political stance, Russia also successfully supported a more neutral, hence more Russian-leaning, political leader, Ivanishvili, who came to power in Georgia, and Georgia today is much more neutral, much more &#8220;Finlandized&#8221; than the pro-Western, pro-American, pro-Turkish Georgia. Then, Russia was doing exactly the same thing in Ukraine, and it was a very transparent motivation. However, it failed. The Kyiv government is adamantly pro-European and hence pro-Western. It became even more so. Its pro-Western stance has been galvanized by Russian aggression in Eastern Ukraine, and the annexation of Crimea. So, in that sense, Russia has lost, or at least it couldn&#8217;t succeed in the way it was hoping.</p>
<p>So, I think, because of the relative defeat it suffered in Ukraine, having lost 90% of Ukraine to the Western camp, Russia is lashing out in Syria, to get revenge for Ukraine to a certain extent, and to pile up some chips for a future bargain. Maybe, at the geopolitical table, it might strike a deal with the West. So, it is building a position and it might use Syria as a more direct satellite state of Russia. I mean, obviously Syria, even during the Cold War, enjoyed warm relations with the Soviet Bloc, but it wasn&#8217;t a satellite state, so to say. It wasn&#8217;t Bulgaria or Poland or Hungary under Soviet occupation. But now it is becoming a Russian satellite state.</p>
<h4><strong>So, can you say that Syria, then, has an instrumental value for the Russians to settle down their negotiations with the West over the Ukrainian crisis?</strong></h4>
<p>Yes, I would say that. But there are two caveats to that. It is debatable whether there will ever be a trade-off in that sense between Ukraine and Syria. It is a theoretical possibility. But, is that really feasible or plausible in reality? We will see. Plus, given the swift success of the Russian army in Syria, I suspect that Russia is less willing to trade its positions in Syria, all of its positions in Syria, in return for Ukraine. But the second part is more complicated. Which credible party is going to trade any part of Ukraine with Russia? It is really about whether the Ukraine-Syria trade-off will empirically be possible – we will see.</p>
<h4><strong>So, what do the Russians want? A war?</strong></h4>
<p>I suspect there is an element of that. They think their position is strong, decisively strong, in Syria. And it is not retreating; it isn&#8217;t growing, but it isn&#8217;t retreating in Eastern Ukraine. Plus, the Ukrainian government has no real plan or any real effort to retake Crimea. They’ve lost and they are making no effort. Of course, they denounce it, they condemn it. But, in a real political sense, they’ve accepted that. The most they are hoping for, unfortunately, is to regain control of the Luhansk and Donetsk provinces in Eastern Ukraine, and that, with a negotiated settlement, they don’t think they will be able to do it militarily. So, in East Ukraine, they’ve at least attempted in a way they never attempted in Crimea. They attempted and they failed. For Crimea, they didn&#8217;t even attempt. And that’s an interesting sign. That is already conceding to Russia a very big part of the prize and lowering their expectations for Ukraine.</p>
<h4><strong>So, what are, do you think, the prospects of the crisis in Ukraine for the Russians?</strong></h4>
<p>Well, if Ukraine will never turn back from its pro-Western orientation, which is a possibility, it  seems that they are set on the pro-Western course, which means that Russia will never concede any part of Syria. If that is the bargain, since nothing is being given by the Kyiv side, Russia is not going to give much either. Unless, of course, it is forced to do so. And that is a question of ability. And maybe it will turn into an Afghan war type of quagmire, which will suck up Russian economic resources and military might, and set in anti-Putin social unrest, and that’s going to be a topic to be analyzed much more by world historians.</p>
<h4><strong>When the Russians became involved in the Syria crisis, the Americans had been working on forming an international anti-Daesh alliance in Syria, and wherever they existed, for that matter. The Americans were there. How did the Russians take the risk of aggressively being involved in a region where the Americans were? Or alternatively, did the Russians and Americans have an implicit agreement on Russian involvement in the Syria crisis?</strong></h4>
<p>Maybe they did. Maybe. Because that makes sense. Because we have a puzzle that is very difficult to explain and the theory that you mentioned offers a solution, so it’s a possibility. Maybe the Russian military had the implicit approval of American policy makers before intervening.</p>
<h4><strong>Yes, and so one more question about the Russian position in Syria. What is the reason behind the American inaction over the Russian intervention in Syria?</strong></h4>
<p>I think there are two reasons. The first is related to American domestic politics and where Obama comes from. And the second reason is about international politics. Domestically, remember that Obama came to power in 2008 and was an anti-war, anti-intervention candidate. Clinton wasn&#8217;t in that position. John Edwards wasn&#8217;t in that position. It was only Obama alone among the major contenders who was clearly the anti-war candidate. And that position influenced his political identity to a considerable extent. So, there is a very nice Turkish saying, which goes like this: “Having burnt his tongue in hot milk, he hesitates to eat yoghurt.” And that seems like the difference between the Bush administration and the Obama administration. Indeed, they burnt their tongue, or hit the wall, in the Second War on Iraq, which was stupid, and they squandered hundreds of billions of dollars of American resources, and the war was, in many ways, economically, strategically, politically, a disaster. And it was the wrong war, which killed tens of thousands of people, and it was also immoral.</p>
<p>But Syria, in many ways, could have been easily pitched, marketed as the good war, the humanitarian war; a kind of Milosevic-Kosovo scenario, where just with a few strategically targeted airstrikes, the Assad regime, the backbone of the Assad regime, could collapse. And moderate opposition supported by France, Turkey and the US could triumph over the regime forces, or, barring that, at least American political, diplomatic and perhaps even military cover could prevent the Russian and Iranian armies from intervening on behalf of Assad. Even that could have been enough for the moderate opposition to claim victory against Assad.</p>
<h4><strong>This was the main expectation of Turkey from the United States.</strong></h4>
<p>Exactly. A no-fly zone in the North, or at least preventing the Iranian or Russian armies from coming in to help Assad etc. There wasn&#8217;t any of that. So, not intervening, not doing the anti-Milosevic type of humanitarian intervention is one thing. And I think that could be the result of, what I call, being the anti-war candidate and the lesson of the disastrous Iraq War. But Obama&#8217;s reluctance goes beyond that. And for that, I think we also need to think of an international, non-domestic factor in US policy. That is, Obama is clearly set on having reconciliation with Iran. The so-called Iran deal as the big success story, the landmark of his foreign policy achievements, like Nixon’s peace with China, or something like that. Or, we can think of Obama’s domestic achievements. I mean, Obama is going to be remembered domestically for healthcare reform and gay marriage, and in foreign policy, for reconciliation with Cuba and Iran.</p>
<p>And the reconciliation with Iran will figure more prominently with the international community than the reconciliation with Cuba. So, he is almost obsessed with that. And once it became clear that Obama would pursue reconciliation with Iran, despite opposition from Congress, almost no matter what, then it became predetermined that the US was not going to intervene in Syria against the Assad regime, because doing so would bring US military power into direct confrontation with Iranian military political power, which would be the end of the Iran deal. So, maybe the Iran deal is the international-level explanation for the cause of Obama’s unusual, extraordinary reluctance to intervene against the Assad regime, even when it used chemical weapons, even when Russia was preparing to intervene. Even when the Iranian military intervened. So, that would be the international-level explanation.</p>
<h4><strong>And the jet crisis … How do you interpret the current relations between Turkey and Russia?</strong></h4>
<p>I mean, briefly, that was the dip in Turkey-Russian relations over the past 25 years. It could get even worse, especially if Russia has insisted on militarily and logistically supporting the PKK in Turkey, because that&#8217;s direct support for armed insurgency and terrorism in Turkey. Turkey and Russia denounced doing exactly that in around 1998, when Russia did not accept Abdullah Öcalan’s request for political asylum, refused his application to be a political asylum seeker in Russia and ceased supporting the PKK. Abdullah Öcalan was pushed out of Syria. And then he was in Moscow and then he was pushed out of Moscow to Italy, Greece, and then eventually he was arrested in Kenya. Turkey affirmed that it would never support separatist insurgency against Russia in Chechnya or in Dagestan, or elsewhere in the Caucasus. So, that was an important watershed and an implicit agreement. There was no signed agreement. So, if Russia has insisted on supporting the PYD-PKK, Russia’s relations with Turkey would have worsened.</p>
<p>On the other hand, the Russian bombing of Turkey-supported rebels in Syria was clearly a sign that Russia did not recognize any kind of Turkish sphere of influence, even right next to the Turkish border in Syria. Thus, Russia signaled that it would not tolerate a Turkish sphere of influence, not just in the Black Sea or the Caucasus region, but even next to Turkey’s southern borders, right across the Syrian border. However, following the Russian-Turkish rapprochement after July 15, 2016, and President Erdoğan’s visit to Russia right after the coup attempt, it seems as though Russia implicitly permitted the Turkish military to undertake its incursion into Syria in support of the Free Syrian Army against Daesh, which began on August 24, 2016.</p>
<p>Turkey’s unusually passive behavior during the Ukrainian crisis and the annexation and occupation in Crimea was motivated primarily by Turkey’s concern to keep Russian-Turkish relations on good track. So, Turkey did not react the way many Western and Crimean Tatar observers thought that it could and should. Turkey could denounce Russian actions much more forcefully, it could lobby the international community for a more resolute political, and even military response to the Russian aggression in Crimea, and in Ukraine, but Turkey did not do any of that. Turkey didn&#8217;t even participate in the embargo, taking, many thought, an implicitly pro-Russian stance in the Ukrainian crisis. The Western alliance clearly didn&#8217;t do much more either. And why was that? It meant that, in a way, Turkey recognized that the Black Sea basin and even Crimea was in the Russian sphere of influence.</p>
<p>Similarly, during the Georgian War in 2008, the Russian military specifically bombed strategic assets that were built by Turkey for Georgia. But, it did not bomb the Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan pipeline. So, clearly, Turkey could have economic influence but not military influence in the Caucasus from a Russian perspective. Turkey expected, I presume, that Russia would also respect a Turkish sphere of influence in northern Syria, around Aleppo and Idlib and the Turkmen mountains at least; but Russia bombed all of those regions and the Turkish-supported groups starting in November 2015, and even violated Turkish airspace while doing that. However, with the rapprochement of July 2016, it seems as if Russia accepted a limited Turkish sphere of influence in northern Syria this time. Of course, we do not know whether there is indeed such a mutual understanding; we can only surmise that there is based on the developments we have been witnessing since July 15, 2016.</p>
<p>It is true that, for a while, Turkey has felt strategically encircled by the Russian military in the Black Sea and in the Caucasus in the north and the east, and in Syria in the South, and by pro-Russian proxies in Tehran and Baghdad, and the pro-Russian PKK and other terrorist organizations in Turkey. So, Turkey is really encircled by Russian military political power. It was becoming the number one issue of Turkish foreign policy and it became imperative to reach a sort of modus vivendi with the Russians.</p>
<p>With the failed coup attempt in Turkey, however, that has completely changed because the internal threat has exceeded the external threat for Turkey. And since the Gulenist coup plotters’ leader has been residing in the United States since 1999, most elites and the masses in Turkey have come to perceive the US as the external state patron of the greatest internal security threat to the country. This has radically changed the security dilemma that Turkish policy makers are facing, and in great part explains the ongoing Turkish-Russian rapprochement.</p>
<h4><strong>Turkey’s Western allies do not come to its aid. Nor do they seem willing, in the near future, to provide any tangible support for Turkey.</strong></h4>
<p>And that is why I think we are, genuinely, the closest we have been to the end of the Turkish-American alliance since 1952. Because the purpose of the Western Alliance is to protect its members. More specifically, the purpose of the Western Alliance is to balance against Russia. So, if the Western Alliance is not even balancing against or slowing down Russian expansion, then its utility for its members is minimal, especially for a country like Turkey. Then, as I said, Turkey is encircled by Russian military power. So, it is going to be this year, the year when the US, Iran, Russia, Israel, these regional and global powers strike the new balance.</p>
<p>The new balance could have been the old balance. Because the new geopolitics resembles the old geopolitics very much. One could easily imagine that, with a new president in power in the US in November, the Cold War equation could be established and the US could be more assertive. But, the opposite can also happen, because of the failed coup and its geopolitical dimensions that I’ve briefly mentioned today and <a href="http://thenewturkey.org//the-end-of-the-turkish-american-alliance-after-the-failed-coup/">discussed at length</a>. However, the failed coup attempt of July 15 and the sheltering of Fetullah Gülen by the United States is the biggest difference compared to the previous threat perceptions, making it harder to maintain the Turkish-American alliance as good as it once was, unless the United States extradites Gülen to Turkey.</p>
<h4><strong>If a Republican president is elected?</strong></h4>
<p>I don&#8217;t want to speculate. As of September 2016, it is still rather unlikely, but not impossible, for Donald Trump to be elected president. I don&#8217;t follow the foreign policy platforms of the contenders at this moment. But, some people draw parallels with what is happening today and Lyndon Johnson&#8217;s letter of 1964; but, as you know, the reply of Inönü to Johnson’s letter was along the lines of, “okay then, we will seek a new world order and Turkey will find its place in it.” It didn&#8217;t happen, that&#8217;s true. But, this is the pattern. When Turkey is rebuffed by the US, like in 1964 and in the 1970s after the Turkish intervention in Cyprus – Turkey was rebuffed by the US, even though perhaps Turkey had implicit approval of the US, then Turkey sought alternative options for a while. So, that is also a pattern. And now we are in that year.</p>
<h4><strong>I think this a perfect moment to wrap up our interview. What options does Turkey have at the moment?</strong></h4>
<p>There is no coherent alliance network in the Middle East anymore. That is true. But, that is a widespread feature of the post-Cold War World order. There is unipolarity. And there are various powers that have a certain regional influence. For example, we had a conversation mostly around Russia, Turkey, US, Iran etc., but the Western power that has been, in my humble opinion, closest to Turkey’s position on Syria since the very beginning is France. I mean, the Syrian opposition that rebelled against Assad had its meetings and leadership in France and Turkey, in Paris and in Istanbul, crisscrossing between the two countries.</p>
<p>Both President Hollande and President Erdoğan, since the beginning, have been very clear, clearer than Obama and any other Western leader that Assad must go, and the fight against Daesh should continue. Although, you could say, and that would be fine, that the French emphasis on the fight against Daesh has been greater and has been growing since the attacks in Paris; but that is no longer the case since the Turkish military is the one that is fighting Daesh on the ground, not the US, France, or Russia, who only use their air forces to conduct limited air strikes against Daesh.</p>
<p>It is also the case that the biggest Daesh attacks have been against Turkey and against France, which is a strange coincidence. After all, why would Daesh concentrate its most lethal attacks on the two countries that are most outspoken against the Assad regime? And here you have two NATO members that could be supporting a moderate opposition, the Free Syrian Army, in a more forceful manner under different circumstances and bring about regime change. It didn&#8217;t happen, and the Turkish military is alone on the ground actively supporting the Free Syrian Army as part of Operation Euphrates Shield, currently.</p>
<p>It was recently revealed that France was ready to strike the Assad regime after that regime used chemical weapons in committing a crime against humanity, but President Hollande was forced to call off such an intervention after talking to Obama, which speaks volumes about the kind of Janus-faced role Obama played in the Syrian crisis, first loudly condemning the Assad regime and arming the opposition, and then abandoning them. Turkey’s predicament is similar to that of France, except much worse, because Turkey not only borders Syria, but its longest and most permeable border is with Syria.</p>
<p>From the Turkish and, I suppose, regional point of view, the critical turning point was Egypt, not Syria. I mean, once the president of Egypt was overthrown, no matter how bad he allegedly was, that’s beside the point – Egypt is a country of world historical cultural, strategic, and demographic importance. If Egypt was a multi-party democracy of some sort today, it would have had world historical repercussions for the rest of the Arab-Islamic World. Just like the position Russia occupies in post-Soviet Eurasia. Once Russia became a dictatorship, Belarus had much less chance of becoming a democracy.</p>
<p>Once Egypt became a military dictatorship, I think the Arab Spring very rapidly died away. And, other than the Tunisian experience, and the uncertain future of Libya and maybe Yemen, I am not very hopeful about too many of them anymore. It is unlikely that any multiparty democracy will come out of this geopolitical crisis. It sometimes happens that counterrevolution wins. It usually wins if there is heavy foreign military intervention. Russian and Iranian intervention in Syria was an example of this.</p>
<p><strong>Professor Aktürk, thank you very much for this illuminating and informative interview.</strong></p>
<p>You are welcome.</p>
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</div><p>The post <a href="https://politicstoday.org/the-geopolitical-crisis-in-the-caucasus-ukraine-and-the-middle-east/">The Geopolitical Crisis in the Caucasus, Ukraine, and the Middle East</a> appeared first on <a href="https://politicstoday.org">Politics Today</a>.</p>
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